River Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
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FGUS53 KMSR 201551
RVFMIN
RIVER FORECAST
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1049 AM CDT THU JUN 20 2024
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.
:
: NOTE... This product includes observed precipitation, plus
: forecast precipitation for the next 48 Hours.
:
: ------------------------------------------------------------
: Initial model results were suggesting near-record crests
: at several locations. Our model gets very sensitive in these
: high rain rate and amount events and often has a high bias
: for the larger events. Where biases are known, we cut runoff
: to bring the crests down.
: ------------------------------------------------------------
:
: W Br Lac Qui Parle River Dawson MN - DAWM5
: HSA=MPX Flood Stage=37.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=35.0 FT
: CREST FORECAST
.A DAWM5 0624 Z DH06/DC06201549/HGIFFX 42.5
:
.ER DAWM5 0619 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1 33.4/ 33.4/ 33.4/ 33.4
.ER DAWM5 0620 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1 33.4/ 33.4/ 33.4/ 33.4/ 33.5/ 33.7/ 34.0/ 34.4
.E1 35.1/ 36.4/ 38.2/ 40.1/ 41.3/ 42.1/ 42.5/ 42.4
.E1 42.1/ 41.6/ 41.1/ 40.6/ 40.1/ 39.1/ 37.9/ 36.9
.E1 36.2/ 35.6/ 35.2/ 34.9/
:
:
: Minnesota River Montevideo MN - MVOM5
: HSA=MPX Flood Stage=14.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=12.0 FT
: ------------------------------------------------------------
: Outflow forecast at Lac qui Parle dam coordinated with the
: USACE.
: ------------------------------------------------------------
: CREST FORECAST
.A MVOM5 0626 Z DH06/DC06201549/HGIFFX 17.0
:
.ER MVOM5 0619 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1 13.6/ 13.5/ 13.5/ 13.5
.ER MVOM5 0620 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1 13.5/ 13.5/ 13.6/ 13.7/ 13.9/ 14.0/ 14.1/ 14.3
.E1 14.6/ 14.8/ 15.0/ 15.0/ 15.1/ 15.3/ 15.6/ 15.8
.E1 16.1/ 16.3/ 16.5/ 16.6/ 16.8/ 16.9/ 17.0/ 17.0
.E1 17.0/ 17.0/ 17.0/ 17.0/
:
:
: Minnesota River Granite Falls MN - GTEM5
: HSA=MPX Flood Stage=885.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=883.0 FT
: CREST FORECAST
.A GTEM5 0627 Z DH06/DC06201549/HGIFFX 887.0
:
.ER GTEM5 0619 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1 883.6/ 883.6/ 883.6/ 883.6
.ER GTEM5 0620 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1 883.5/ 883.5/ 883.5/ 883.6/ 883.6/ 883.7/ 883.8/ 884.0
.E1 884.2/ 884.5/ 884.7/ 884.8/ 884.8/ 884.8/ 884.8/ 884.8
.E1 885.0/ 885.3/ 885.6/ 885.9/ 886.1/ 886.3/ 886.4/ 886.7
.E1 886.8/ 886.9/ 887.0/ 887.0/
:
:
: Redwood River Marshall MN - MSHM5
: HSA=FSD Flood Stage=14.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=12.0 FT
: CREST FORECAST
.A MSHM5 0623 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIFFX 17.5
:
.ER MSHM5 0619 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1 9.8/ 9.8/ 9.8/ 9.7
.ER MSHM5 0620 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1 9.6/ 9.6/ 9.6/ 9.9/ 10.8/ 12.0/ 13.1/ 14.2
.E1 15.2/ 16.1/ 16.8/ 17.3/ 17.5/ 17.4/ 17.0/ 16.5
.E1 16.0/ 15.5/ 15.0/ 14.5/ 14.0/ 13.7/ 13.4/ 13.1
.E1 12.9/ 12.8/ 12.6/ 12.5/
:
:
: Redwood River Redwood Falls MN - RWDM5
: HSA=MPX Flood Stage=6.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=5.0 FT
: CREST FORECAST
.A RWDM5 0625 Z DH12/DC06201549/HGIFFX 11.5
:
.ER RWDM5 0619 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1 5.1/ 5.1/ 5.1/ 5.0
.ER RWDM5 0620 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1 4.9/ 4.8/ 4.8/ 4.6/ 4.6/ 4.7/ 5.0/ 5.6
.E1 6.2/ 6.7/ 7.3/ 7.8/ 8.4/ 9.0/ 9.6/ 10.2
.E1 10.6/ 11.0/ 11.3/ 11.5/ 11.5/ 11.3/ 11.0/ 10.8
.E1 10.5/ 10.2/ 9.9/ 9.6/
:
:
: Minnesota River Morton MN - MTNM5
: HSA=MPX Flood Stage=21.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=18.0 FT
: CREST FORECAST
.A MTNM5 0626 Z DH12/DC06201549/HGIFFX 28.0
:
.ER MTNM5 0619 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1 22.8/ 22.7/ 22.6/ 22.5
.ER MTNM5 0620 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1 22.5/ 22.4/ 22.4/ 22.3/ 22.3/ 22.5/ 22.9/ 23.4
.E1 23.9/ 24.4/ 24.9/ 25.3/ 25.7/ 26.1/ 26.4/ 26.7
.E1 27.0/ 27.3/ 27.5/ 27.6/ 27.8/ 27.9/ 27.9/ 28.0
.E1 28.0/ 27.9/ 27.8/ 27.7/
:
:
: Minnesota River New Ulm MN - NULM5
: HSA=MPX Flood Stage=800.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=796.0 FT
.ER NULM5 0619 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1 799.8/ 799.9/ 800.1/ 800.1
.ER NULM5 0620 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1 800.2/ 800.3/ 800.4/ 800.5/ 800.6/ 800.6/ 800.7/ 800.9
.E1 801.2/ 801.5/ 801.6/ 801.7/ 801.7/ 801.7/ 801.8/ 801.8
.E1 801.9/ 802.1/ 802.4/ 802.8/ 803.3/ 803.8/ 804.3/ 804.7
.E1 805.1/ 805.4/ 805.7/ 806.0/
:
:
: Cottonwood River Springfield MN - SPFM5
: HSA=MPX Flood Stage=22.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=19.0 FT
: CREST FORECAST
.A SPFM5 0624 Z DH00/DC06201549/HGIFFX 31.0
:
.ER SPFM5 0619 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1 23.3/ 23.2/ 22.9/ 22.7
.ER SPFM5 0620 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1 22.4/ 22.1/ 22.0/ 21.9/ 21.9/ 22.0/ 22.7/ 26.0
.E1 28.0/ 28.9/ 29.7/ 30.3/ 30.8/ 31.0/ 31.0/ 30.8
.E1 30.4/ 30.0/ 29.5/ 29.0/ 28.3/ 27.7/ 27.1/ 26.5
.E1 25.9/ 25.4/ 24.7/ 24.2/
:
:
: Cottonwood River New Ulm MN - NWUM5
: HSA=MPX Flood Stage=11.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=9.0 FT
: CREST FORECAST
.A NWUM5 0625 Z DH00/DC06201549/HGIFFX 19.0
:
.ER NWUM5 0619 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1 12.2/ 12.2/ 12.1/ 11.9
.ER NWUM5 0620 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1 11.6/ 11.4/ 11.1/ 11.0/ 11.0/ 11.0/ 11.0/ 11.1
.E1 11.6/ 12.7/ 13.9/ 15.1/ 16.2/ 17.1/ 17.9/ 18.5
.E1 18.8/ 19.0/ 18.8/ 18.6/ 18.2/ 17.8/ 17.2/ 16.7
.E1 16.1/ 15.5/ 14.9/ 14.3/
:
:
: Minnesota River Mankato MN - MNKM5
: HSA=MPX Flood Stage=22.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=15.0 FT
.ER MNKM5 0619 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1 19.3/ 19.5/ 19.7/ 19.9
.ER MNKM5 0620 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1 20.1/ 20.2/ 20.4/ 20.5/ 20.5/ 20.6/ 20.7/ 20.8
.E1 21.5/ 22.2/ 22.7/ 23.1/ 23.7/ 24.5/ 25.1/ 25.6
.E1 26.2/ 26.7/ 27.1/ 27.5/ 27.7/ 27.9/ 28.0/ 28.0
.E1 28.0/ 27.9/ 27.8/ 27.7/
:
:
: Minnesota River Henderson MN - HENM5
: HSA=MPX Flood Stage=732.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=727.0 FT
.ER HENM5 0619 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1 732.5/ 732.6/ 732.7/ 732.8
.ER HENM5 0620 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1 733.0/ 733.1/ 733.3/ 733.4/ 733.5/ 733.9/ 734.2/ 735.1
.E1 735.3/ 735.4/ 735.6/ 735.7/ 735.9/ 736.1/ 736.3/ 736.5
.E1 736.8/ 737.0/ 737.4/ 737.8/ 738.2/ 738.6/ 738.9/ 739.1
.E1 739.3/ 739.4/ 739.4/ 739.5/
:
:
: Minnesota River Jordan MN - JDNM5
: HSA=MPX Flood Stage=25.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=18.0 FT
.ER JDNM5 0619 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1 25.8/ 26.0/ 26.2/ 26.4
.ER JDNM5 0620 Z DH18/DC06201549/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1 26.6/ 26.7/ 26.8/ 26.9/ 27.0/ 27.2/ 27.5/ 27.9
.E1 28.4/ 28.7/ 29.1/ 29.4/ 29.6/ 30.0/ 30.2/ 30.3
.E1 30.4/ 30.5/ 30.6/ 30.8/ 31.0/ 31.2/ 31.5/ 31.7
.E1 32.0/ 32.3/ 32.6/ 32.8/
:
:
:END
NOTE... This product includes observed precipitation, plus
forecast precipitation for the next 48 Hours.
$$
FCSTR EXT: 2540