Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
372 FXUS63 KMKX 112025 AFDMKX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 325 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - A few showers possible near Lake Michigan today, but otherwise dry weather through the weekend - Shower chances return Sunday night into Monday && .SHORT TERM... Issued 320 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 Tonight through Sunday night: Northeast fetch and a convergence band will drive areas of sprinkles to light showers onshore this evening, mainly through Milwaukee, Racine, and Kenosha Counties. This activity is expected to ease after sunset as winds come around to easterly and decrease the favorable fetch. Dry conditions are then expected through tomorrow, with breezy southeast winds during the afternoon. Highs will be in the low 70s. Sunday night, a cold front is expected to approach from the northwest, though low moisture and weak convergence along the boundary will likely limit widespread rain going into Monday morning. CMiller && .LONG TERM... Issued 325 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 Monday through Saturday: Following the cold front Monday, conditions are expected to dry as the cold front slows it`s progress over Illinois, with a bit of a lull in rain until Tuesday. Then a shortwave is expected to move east along the surface boundary, firing off some additional rain Tuesday evening into Wednesday. High pressure then moves in midweek with temps dipping toward normal, before warm advection returns and temperatures rise again heading into next weekend. CMiller && .AVIATION... Issued 310 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 MVFR clouds will continue along the lakeshore into the evening hours, while VFR and mostly clear skies will remain inland from Lake Michigan. Winds will remain light and northeasterl to easterly through the evening, with light winds becoming southeasterly Sunday. CMiller && .MARINE... Issued 301 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 A high pressure ridge extending from a high pressure fo 30.4 inches over eastern Canada will linger overnight and retreat Sunday morning as a stronger pressure gradient moves over the lake ahead of low pressure of 29.1 inches. Breezy southeasterly to southerly winds are expected Sunday morning into Monday afternoon, when winds ease as a cold front comes through. CMiller && .MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WI...None. LM...None. && $$ Visit us at weather.gov/milwaukee Follow us on Facebook, X, and YouTube at: www.facebook.com/NWSMilwaukee www.x.com/NWSMilwaukee www.youtube.com/NWSMilwaukee