Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
131
FNUS73 KMKX 021505
FWSMKX
Spot Forecast for Sugar River Wetlands SNA...WI DNR
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
905 AM CST Sun Nov 2 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CST on November 02.
Please contact the National Weather Service if conditions become
unrepresentative or if you have questions/concerns about this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather expected for the rest of this morning and afternoon,
slight rain chances arrive late this evening into Tonight. A mix of
high and mid altitude clouds leading to partly to mostly cloudy skies
this afternoon.
Expecting a daytime high of 51 degrees in the early to mid
afternoon, coincident with a minimum RH around 50 percent. The
current light and variable surface winds will turn southwest and
accelerate towards noon, achieving 10 to 15 MPH speeds with gusts
to around 20 MPH. Though not the most likely solution, a few gusts
closer to 30 MPH will also be possible this afternoon, given the
faster wind speeds aloft. Speaking of which, the smoke transport
winds and dispersal are looking good, which should help to
counteract the effects of the shallow mixing heights (topping out
at only ~3000 feet this afternoon).
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) then becoming
sunny (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........47 at ignition...Max 51.
RH..................63 percent at ignition...Min 53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 11 mph at
ignition...otherwise Southwest winds 10 to 12
mph with gusts to around 20 mph. A few gusts
closer to 30 MPH will be possible this afternoon.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3200 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 18 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /55700 knot-ft/ at ignition.
Max...excellent /65400 knot-ft/.
TIME (CST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75 66 62 52 45 25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............47 49 50 49 48 46
RH..............63 56 54 54 56 58
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..11 12 12 12 11 10
20 FT wind gust.17 18 19 19 19 18
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 3.2 3.2 3.0 1.7 0.8
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.22 23 23 25 21 18
SDspl kt-ft/100056 64 65 65 30 12
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
rain overnight.
Temperature.........Min 38.
RH..................Max 85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
in the evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 16 to 23 mph shifting to the west
around 13 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4900 knot-ft).
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........10 36 52 51 50 74 79 80 72 79 67 35
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RN RN RN
Tstm cov........
Temp............45 44 43 44 43 43 43 42 42 42 41 40
RH..............60 62 65 62 65 67 67 70 70 73 76 79
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
20 FT wind spd..10 10 11 11 11 10 10 10 9 9 8 7
20 FT wind gust.18 18 18 19 20 19 19 18 18 17 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W
Transp wind spd.18 20 21 22 22 23 21 21 20 18 16 13
SDspl kt-ft/10008 8 9 10 10 11 10 11 12 11 7 5
$$
Forecaster...BS
Requested by...Jared Urban
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2524894.0/MKX
.DELDT 11/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jared.urban@wisconsin.gov