Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
380
FNUS73 KMKX 171150
FWSMKX
Spot Forecast for Mukwonago Office Unit...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
550 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CST on November 17.
Please contact the National Weather Service if conditions become
unrepresentative or if you have questions/concerns about this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Light northwest winds will continue to diminish throughout the morning
becoming light and variable this afternoon, around 1 to 4 PM, then become
light southeasterly by this evening. Under the influence of high pressure
through this afternoon mixing heights will be around 1.5 to 2.5 thousand
feet with light transport winds. Minimum RH values are expected to fall
into the low 30s. If dewpoints drop a degree or two this afternoon then
minimum RH values could drop into the upper 20s. A wintry mix of rain and
snow will move in late this evening. Precipitation will continue through
the overnight hours and into Tuesday.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
sunny (65-75 percent) then becoming cloudy
(85-95 percent).
Temperature.........41 at ignition...Max 46.
RH..................36 percent at ignition...Min 32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 3 mph at
ignition...otherwise Light winds.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2200 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /10700 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
/13300 knot-ft/.
TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10 14 32 61 75 90 93
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............41 43 45 46 46 44 42
RH..............36 33 32 32 32 35 39
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW W NW NE
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 3 3 3 2
20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 4 4 4
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.1 2.2 2.2 1.8 0.6 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW W W NW
Transp wind spd.7 6 7 6 6 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/100011 10 13 11 9 2 1
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Chance of rain in the
evening, then rain and slight chance of snow
overnight.
Temperature.........Min 35.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 6 to 7 mph after 3
am.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 3 mph shifting to the southeast
around 5 mph early in the evening, then
shifting to the south 6 to 7 mph in the late
evening and overnight shifting to the east 9 to
13 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1100 knot-ft).
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........97 99 100 100 99 100 100 100 100 100 100 98
Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type.... RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
Tstm cov........
Temp............40 38 37 37 36 36 35 36 35 35 35 35
RH..............42 48 52 56 61 64 72 79 89 96 96 100
20 FT wind dir..E E SE SE SE SE E E SE E E E
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.4 4 5 6 6 6 6 7 10 11 12 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.W E SE S S S SE SE SE E E E
Transp wind spd.3 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 9 10 12 13
SDspl kt-ft/10001 1 2 2 2 4 5 5 7 7 8 9
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain in the morning,
then chance of rain in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 42.
RH..................Min 89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6800 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (21700 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........97 96 97 97 97 98 98 97 96 95 92 88
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
Tstm cov........
Temp............36 37 39 40 40 40 40 41 41 40 40 40
RH..............100 100 96 96 96 96 96 93 89 92 92 89
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E E NE
20 FT wind spd..6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 6
20 FT wind gust.14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1
Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.13 14 15 17 17 18 20 20 20 18 17 15
SDspl kt-ft/10007 11 12 16 18 20 21 22 22 20 18 15
$$
Forecaster...Patterson
Requested by...Brian Miner
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526070.0/MKX
.DELDT 11/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brian.miner@tnc.org