Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

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FNUS73 KMKX 301509
FWSMKX

Spot Forecast for Silverwood...Dane County Parks
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
1009 AM CDT Sat May 30 2020

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1400 CDT on May 31.

Please contact the National Weather Service if conditions become
unrepresentative or if you have questions/concerns about this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry weather is expected through the weekend under high
pressure. Light southerly winds shift to the southwest and
range from 5 to 10 Sunday afternoon. Expect RH to bottom
out around 37 percent Sunday afternoon. Smoke dispersal will
be improving throughout the afternoon hours as mixing heights
and transport winds increase.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Temperature.........67 at ignition...Max 69.
RH..................40 percent at ignition...Min 39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 5 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming
                    southwest around 5 mph late in the morning,
                    then becoming light late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......100-1200 ft AGL increasing to 5300 ft AGL at
                    ignition...otherwise 4600-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /25700 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /31000 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........2 very low at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26  32  35  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............67  68  68  69
RH..............40  39  40  40
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   4
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...5.3 5.3 5.1 4.8
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   8
Haines index....2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/100026  29  31  29

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Temperature.........Min 51.
RH..................Max 74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3600-4400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (0-24700 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........27  19  21  23  26  29  33  37  40  44  51  62
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............68  68  64  61  58  56  55  54  53  52  52  52
RH..............42  43  50  58  64  69  69  71  74  74  74  74
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.10  5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4 3.6 2.4 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   8   9
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100025  19  12  5   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Patterson
Requested by...Lars Higdon
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2007253.0/MKX
.EMAIL higdon.lars@countyofdane.com



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