Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

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000
FNUS73 KMKX 051227
FWSMKX

Spot Forecast for Ice Age M Rx...Dane County Parks
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
727 AM CDT Wed May 5 2021

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 05.

Please contact the National Weather Service if conditions become
unrepresentative or if you have questions/concerns about this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Skies will be clear to start out with some clouds moving in for
the afternoon. Relative humidity values are expected to be in the
30s through the afternoon with temperatures climbing towards 60.
Winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph with mixing heights
increasing to around 6500 feet.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Temperature.........50 at ignition...Max 60.
RH..................54 percent at ignition...Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /33000 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /45200 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 3.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   13  24  25  29  32  45  60
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............50  53  55  57  58  59  60  59
RH..............54  46  41  38  37  36  36  37
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.8   10  11  11  10  10  10  8
Mix hgt (kft)...4.2 5.0 5.3 5.8 6.2 6.5 6.5 5.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
Transp wind spd.10  10  9   9   9   9   8   8
Haines index....2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100033  39  37  40  43  45  39  32

$$
Forecaster...Hansen
Requested by...Lars Higdon
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2111637.0/MKX
.DELDT 05/05/21
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL higdon.lars@countyofdane.com


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