Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
864
FNUS72 KMLB 291608
FWSMLB
Spot Forecast for Ashby RX...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1108 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on January 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Partly cloudy, dry conditions through Friday evening,
then a slight chance for shower activity Friday overnight and early
Saturday. Light morning winds on Friday becoming westerly 5-10 mph
with a few higher gusts. Dispersion on Friday becoming Good to Very
Good. Weather conditions becoming very unfavorable into Saturday with
W to WNW winds becoming windy/gusty, likely prompting a Wind Advisory
or stronger product issuance for this day into Saturday night. We do
not anticipate fog.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 10 mph late in
the morning with some stronger gusts into afternoon.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL increasing to 5400 ft AGL in the
afternoon, then decreasing to 1700 ft AGL late
in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 12 mph increasing to 8 to 13 mph in
the afternoon.
Dispersion index....Increasing to around 81.
LVORI...............3 decreasing to 1.
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21 20 21 23 29 15 39 31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............60 64 68 68 68 70 69 67
RH..............69 60 51 47 45 42 44 47
20 FT wind dir..N W W W W W W NW
20 FT wind spd..2 5 7 7 7 8 7 6
20 FT wind gust.6 9 12 12 13 13 12 9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 3.0 4.1 5.3 5.4 5.2 5.1 1.7
Transp wind dir.W SW SW W W W W W
Transp wind spd.3 8 12 13 13 13 10 8
Dispersion idx..5 29 56 78 81 74 64 20
LVORI...........3 2 1 1 1 1 1 2
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph after 3
am.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....4.
LVORI...............3 increasing to 6.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........23 27 39 49 59 62 65 67 67 66 66 66
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20
Temp............64 58 57 55 54 53 52 51 50 50 49 49
RH..............52 64 67 72 71 74 74 77 80 83 86 86
20 FT wind dir..N N N NW NW NW W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.8 7 7 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 10 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3
Transp wind dir.NW NW N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.7 6 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7
Dispersion idx..6 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 5 6
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 15 mph increasing to 16 to 21
mph with gusts to around 35 mph in the
afternoon. Winds continue to favor higher with
consistent model runs!
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL increasing to 5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 16 mph increasing to west around
30 mph.
Dispersion index....Increasing to around 90.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 1.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........66 66 64 62 59 55 51 47 40 33 26 23
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............49 47 51 53 55 56 57 57 56 55 54 50
RH..............86 93 80 74 69 64 59 57 55 53 48 48
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..6 6 8 12 13 15 16 18 18 20 21 21
20 FT wind gust.13 14 16 18 21 23 26 29 31 32 33 35
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.6 3.7 4.7 5.4 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.1
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.7 8 9 10 13 16 20 23 25 28 29 30
Dispersion idx..5 4 10 18 37 45 60 75 83 88 90 92
LVORI...........6 6 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
$$
Forecaster...Sedlock
Requested by...Jeffrey Qualls
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601324.0/MLB
.DELDT 01/29/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Jeffrey.Qualls@FDACS.gov