Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
225
FNUS72 KMLB 292059
FWSMLB
Spot Forecast for SLC36 Wildfire...US Wildland Fire Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
459 PM EDT Fri May 29 2026
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 EDT on May 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Low confidence in convective evolution the rest of the evening.
Most showers and lightning storms should stay west of the burn
site the rest of the evening, but erratic motion could bring
activity back towards the coast in the next 2-3 hours (chances
20-40 pct). Lightning chances diminish after 10 PM. Passing
showers possible through the night and into Saturday morning
(chances around 20 pct). (NE-E) 5-10 mph behind the sea breeze
diminish after 6 PM, becoming light and variable through the first
half of the night, then settling to offshore (WNW-NW) 5-10 mph
the second half of the night. Guidance continues to favor
slightly stronger offshore flow and weaker sea breezes Saturday,
which could keep the east coast sea breeze pinned near the coast,
resulting in erratic winds and frequent shifts in the afternoon.
Quick, offshore moving showers and lightning storms possible in
the afternoon and evening (chances around 50 pct). Very moist
airmass and no min RH concerns. Afternoon dispersion values
become Generally to Very Good Saturday.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 6 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 8 mph.
Dispersion index....12.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 5PM
Sky (%).........50
Weather cov.....CHC
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40
Temp............81
RH..............85
20 FT wind dir..NE
20 FT wind spd..6
20 FT wind gust.9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2
Transp wind dir.NE
Transp wind spd.8
Dispersion idx..12
LVORI...........4
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers
in the evening, then slight chance of showers
overnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
becoming light, then becoming west 5 to 7 mph
overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 7 mph shifting to the west 8 to
10 mph overnight.
Dispersion index....7.
LVORI...............4 increasing to 6 early in the evening.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........64 64 63 70 65 77 81 72 66 64 69 81
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30 30 40 30 30 30 20 10 10 0 0 10
Temp............81 79 79 78 78 78 78 78 79 78 78 77
RH..............82 88 88 91 91 91 91 91 88 88 88 90
20 FT wind dir..NE NE E S S SW SW W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..6 5 5 3 3 3 5 5 6 6 7 7
20 FT wind gust.8 7 6 6 6 6 7 7 9 9 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.0
Transp wind dir.NE NE E SE S SW W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.7 6 6 6 6 7 8 8 9 9 10 9
Dispersion idx..10 9 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 6 7 6
LVORI...........4 4 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the
afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast
around 7 mph late in the afternoon, then
shifting to the southwest late in the
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....12 increasing to 21 late in the morning, then
increasing to 24 late in the morning decreasing
to 12 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 4 late in the morning, then
decreasing to 3 late in the afternoon
increasing to 4 late in the afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........86 83 76 59 45 52 51 62 50 49 47 59
Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 30 30 50 50
Temp............77 78 78 79 81 82 83 83 83 83 84 82
RH..............90 88 91 88 82 82 80 77 77 77 74 79
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W NW NW NW SE SW
20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 8 8 9 8 8 8 8 7 7
20 FT wind gust.12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 12 12 12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.9 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.2 2.0 1.0 0.9
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W NW W NW
Transp wind spd.10 10 12 12 10 10 9 9 8 9 8 9
Dispersion idx..8 8 16 18 24 28 28 27 20 20 12 11
LVORI...........6 5 5 4 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 4
$$
Forecaster...Haley
Requested by...Charles Hensler
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2614659.0/MLB
.DELDT 05/29/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL charles_hensler@fws.gov