827
FNUS72 KMLB 080841
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for SE 1400...FFS
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
441 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on October 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A drier airmass has settled across east central Florida with no
mentionable rain chances at the burn site today. Northeast winds
increase to 10-15 mph in the afternoon, gusting between 20-25 mph.
There are no critical RH concerns with fair to generally good
smoke dispersion.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL increasing to 3900 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 45.
LVORI...............5 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12  15  25  21  36  32  35  32  32
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............75  81  83  85  86  86  87  86  85
RH..............90  76  73  66  64  63  61  62  65
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  E   NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   7   9   10  10  10  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.13  14  16  17  20  21  22  22  22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 2.4 3.1 3.5 3.9 3.9 3.7 3.7 3.3
Transp wind dir.NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.8   12  10  10  12  12  13  13  14
Dispersion idx..10  33  37  36  41  43  44  43  46
LVORI...........5   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    early in the evening.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....Northeast 9 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....40 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............4 increasing to 6 late in the evening, then
                    increasing to 8 overnight decreasing to 6 early
                    in the morning.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........32  36  38  38  36  39  33  37  40  29  35  55
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
Temp............83  80  78  76  76  75  74  74  73  73  73  73
RH..............68  75  79  85  86  89  92  92  96  95  94  94
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..10  10  8   7   6   6   6   6   5   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.21  20  17  16  15  14  14  12  12  12  12  13
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.14  13  12  12  10  9   10  9   10  9   9   10
Dispersion idx..40  15  7   6   5   5   5   4   6   4   4   7
LVORI...........3   4   4   5   5   6   6   7   7   8   7   6

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    early in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms
late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    late in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 4600 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....Northeast 9 to 18 mph.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 61 late in the morning decreasing to 50.
LVORI...............7 increasing to 8 early in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 4 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 2 early in the afternoon increasing to 3.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........56  67  53  47  48  49  53  57  61  62  62  63
Weather cov.....        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH SCH CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  30  30  30  30  30  30  40  40  40  40
Temp............73  73  72  76  79  82  83  84  85  84  82  81
RH..............96  98  100 90  82  75  73  70  68  69  71  72
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   9   10  10  12  13  14  14  14  14
20 FT wind gust.13  13  14  16  18  20  22  23  24  25  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.4 2.2 3.0 3.6 4.1 4.6 4.3 4.0 3.6
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.9   10  10  14  16  18  18  18  17  17  17  17
Dispersion idx..7   7   8   24  43  57  62  65  54  50  48  45
LVORI...........6   7   8   4   3   3   3   2   1   1   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Law
Requested by...Michael Muck
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523131.0/MLB
.DELDT 10/08/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Michael.muck@fdacs.gov