Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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001
FNUS72 KMLB 050720
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Hontoon Island State Park Rx Fire...Florida Department of Environmental Protection
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
320 AM EDT Fri Jun 5 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on June 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions are forecast near the burn site today. Minimum RH
values will stay well above critical thresholds, and easterly
winds are anticipated to remain around 10 mph. Afternoon smoke
dispersion values will be very good. Similar conditions are
forecast on Saturday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 6 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 72.
LVORI...............5 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26  14  16  22  20  19  15  17  16  15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............70  75  80  82  83  85  85  85  87  85
RH..............81  76  65  58  57  53  55  55  50  53
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..1   3   6   7   8   9   9   9   10  9
20 FT wind gust.6   8   12  15  17  18  20  20  20  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 2.7 3.9 4.8 4.9 5.1 5.2 4.9 4.8 4.7
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.5   9   10  12  12  12  13  13  12  12
Dispersion idx..3   32  51  62  65  68  72  67  63  63
LVORI...........5   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 9 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....63 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........12     37     34     36     27     22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............85     79     74     72     70     68
RH..............53     64     76     81     87     90
20 ft wind......E 9    E 6    E 3    E 2    E 2    E 1
20 ft wind gust.17     14     12     9      7      6
Mix hgt (ft)....4100   1200   600    400    400    400
Transport wind..E 13   E 12   E 9    E 8    E 7    E 7
Dispersion idx..63     5      4      4      3      3
LVORI...........1      3      4      5      6      6

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL increasing to 6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 75.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........14     16     25     26     18     2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............67     71     81     85     87     89
RH..............93     87     67     57     52     48
20 ft wind......N 0    E 1    E 5    E 7    E 9    E 10
20 ft wind gust.5      5      10     14     18     20
Mix hgt (ft)....400    600    3800   5100   5400   6200
Transport wind..E 6    E 6    E 8    E 9    E 12   E 12
Dispersion idx..3      4      39     54     71     75
LVORI...........6      5      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Tollefsen
Requested by...Adam Hull
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2614970.0/MLB
.DELDT 06/05/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL adam.hull@floridadep.gov