Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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Spot Forecast for Seminole State Forest RX...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
325 AM EDT Tue Sep 29 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on September 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Light and variable winds to start the day eventually turn out of
the east-southeast this afternoon (5-7 mph or less). There are no
Min RH concerns at the burn site, but humidity values could drop
into the mid 40 percent range this afternoon. Fair to good
dispersion is expected in the presence of light winds. Upper level
clouds increase through the day, and the chance for an isolated
shower remains less than 15 percent. Temperatures will reach the
upper 80s to near 90 degrees.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon, then becoming light
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL increasing to 5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 2 to 3 mph shifting to the northwest
                    late in the morning, then shifting to the south
                    3 to 6 mph late in the morning.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 33.
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........49  54  66  62  54  73  67  74  71  76  73
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Temp............70  71  75  81  85  87  89  89  89  88  87
RH..............93  93  87  72  61  55  50  50  48  52  53
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..0   0   0   1   2   3   3   5   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.2   3   3   3   5   7   8   10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.3 0.6 1.6 3.4 4.6 5.4 5.7 5.8 5.4 4.9
Transp wind dir.W   SW  W   NW  S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.2   2   3   2   3   3   5   6   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..1   1   2   6   14  18  28  37  37  33  30
LVORI...........7   8   6   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 7 mph shifting to the south 3 to 6
                    mph late in the evening.
Dispersion index....19 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............3 increasing to 8.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........67  55  54  57  55  58  59  57  56  44  39  41
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............85  81  78  77  75  75  74  73  73  72  71  71
RH..............57  65  74  76  84  84  87  90  90  93  97  97
20 FT wind dir..SE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE  E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  9   8   6   5   5   5   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 0.9 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   SE  S   S   S   SW  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   6   6   6   5   5   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..19  6   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........2   3   3   4   5   5   6   6   6   7   8   8

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the afternoon. Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 7 mph late in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 4900 ft AGL late in
                    the morning, then increasing to 5200 ft AGL
                    early in the afternoon decreasing to 2800 ft
                    AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 3 mph shifting to the east 3
                    to 10 mph early in the morning.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 16 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 36 late in the morning increasing
                    to 45 early in the afternoon decreasing to 22.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 7 early in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 5 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 3 late in the morning decreasing to 2
                    increasing to 3 late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........58  69  63  54  46  57  58  59  70  67  69  62
Weather cov.....                            SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  30  30  30  40
Temp............70  70  71  74  79  83  85  87  87  87  85  83
RH..............100 97  93  90  79  70  65  59  59  57  65  67
20 FT wind dir..E   E   NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   3   5   6   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.3   3   5   6   8   10  12  12  13  14  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.3 1.0 1.9 3.1 4.1 4.9 5.2 4.1 2.8 2.8
Transp wind dir.SE  E   E   SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   10
Dispersion idx..2   2   1   7   16  31  40  45  24  22  19  23
LVORI...........9   8   7   5   4   3   3   1   2   2   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Schaper
Requested by...Blake Boyle
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622695.0/MLB
.DELDT 09/29/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL blake.boyle@fdacs.gov