328
FNUS72 KMLB 170638
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for SFWMD - Reedy Creek- 5,6...South Florida Water Management District
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
238 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on July 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...One more day with deep moisture across the area and a
higher than normal shower and lightning storm threat, before drier air
filters into the area on Friday and the weekend with lower precip
chances. Light southeast winds with higher, generally afternoon gusts.
Dispersion Fair to Generally Good today. Increasing heat today and
through the weekend with highs in the low 90s today and perhaps mid 90s
on Friday. Peak heat indices also higher and will range from 102-107.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the morning.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the afternoon, then showers and thunderstorms
                    likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 8 mph with higher mainly
                    afternoon gusts. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL increasing to 4100 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon, then decreasing to
                    2000 ft AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....Increasing to around 46.
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........19  13  11  9   11  13  20  41  42  39  60  73
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  10  20  20  30  30  50  60  70
Temp............74  75  77  81  85  86  89  90  90  91  87  87
RH..............97  97  97  88  77  75  68  64  64  62  70  70
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   7   8   7   7
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  12  13  14  14  14  14  15  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.9 3.3 3.5 3.9 4.1 3.5 2.8 2.0
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.9   8   10  14  13  10  10  9   9   9   12  10
Dispersion idx..4   5   11  23  36  42  46  46  46  41  36  26
LVORI...........7   8   6   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    toward mid evening.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light (3-5 mph). Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....Decreasing to 2 to 3.
LVORI...............3 increasing to 7.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........65     61     33     13     19     29
Weather cov.....LIKELY S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........LIKELY S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).70     20     10     10     0      0
Temp............85     79     78     77     76     75
RH..............75     91     91     94     94     97
20 ft wind......SE 7   SE 6   SE 5   SE 3   SE 5   E 5
20 ft wind gust.13     9      8      7      8      7
Mix hgt (ft)....1500   700    700    400    400    400
Transport wind..SE 10  SE 12  SE 9   SE 8   SE 6   SE 6
Dispersion idx..19     7      4      3      3      2
LVORI...........3      5      6      6      6      7

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (15-25 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms mid to late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 4200 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....Increasing to around 36.
LVORI...............7 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........20        9         22        23
Weather cov.....                              CHANCE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                              CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         10        10        40
Temp............75        81        88        91
RH..............97        91        70        60
20 FT wind......E 5G7     SE 6G9    SE 6G10   SE 6G12
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1500      3300      3900
Transport wind..SE 7      SE 9      SE 8      SE 7
Dispersion idx..4         16        34        36
LVORI...........7         4         3         1

$$
Forecaster...Sedlock
Requested by...David Schutt
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2518126.0/MLB
.DELDT 07/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dschutt@sfwmd.gov