Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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Spot Forecast for Hilochee WMA prescribed burn...FWC
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
959 AM EST Wed Dec 3 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on December 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

.REST OF TODAY... Good morning. Lower stratus clouds have filtered
across the burn site this morning behind the cold front. These
clouds will gradually clear through this afternoon. NW to NNW
winds today around 5 mph will shift to NE-ENE on Thursday as high
pressure continues to build over the local area. No mentionable
rain chances today and Thursday with min RH values dropping to
40-45 percent Thursday afternoon. Smoke dispersion values will be
poor to fair today and poor Thursday.

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....24 increasing to 35 late in the afternoon, then
                    decreasing to 15 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3 decreasing to 2 in the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........58  59  44  41  32  24  18  14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............67  70  72  73  75  74  73  71
RH..............78  71  64  62  54  53  52  57
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.8   9   10  12  12  12  10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 2.5 2.7 2.9 2.9 3.1 2.8 1.8
Transp wind dir.NW  W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   9   9   10  9   7
Dispersion idx..19  25  28  34  37  37  32  15
LVORI...........3   3   3   1   1   1   1   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming north around 5
                    mph overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 7 to 8 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 7 mph after 3 am.
Dispersion index....4.
LVORI...............4 increasing to 6 in the late evening and
                    overnight.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........20  12  6   10  14  16  21  30  27  34  42  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............66  62  60  59  57  56  55  54  54  53  53  52
RH..............65  72  75  75  80  80  83  90  90  93  90  92
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   5   5   5   3   5   5   5   5   3
20 FT wind gust.8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   7   7   8   8   7   8   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..4   4   4   3   3   3   4   3   4   3   5   3
LVORI...........3   3   4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 2700 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 8 mph shifting to the east 6 to
                    7 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 17 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............6 increasing to 8 early in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 6 early in the morning decreasing
                    to 4 late in the morning decreasing to 2.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........30  33  23  26  28  33  39  44  41  38  34  35
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............52  52  55  61  67  70  72  75  76  76  77  74
RH..............92  95  89  75  63  58  51  47  44  43  41  47
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.7   6   7   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.5 1.8
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   7
Dispersion idx..3   3   6   10  14  17  17  17  19  19  18  16
LVORI...........6   8   6   4   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Watson
Requested by...Loghan Lomneck
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526950.0/MLB
.DELDT 12/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Loghan.Lomneck@myfwc.com