331
FNUS72 KMLB 300652
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Broadmoor Reservoir...FWC
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
252 AM EDT Fri May 30 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Winds today turn out of the southwest from 6-14 mph with a few
gusts 15-20 mph. Available guidance keeps the burn site rain-free
through midday, but the western and northwestern sky will need to
be monitored for increasing storm chances this afternoon.
Frequent lightning will threaten from the storms, and there is a
Marginal Risk for severe wind gusts in the strongest activity.
Dispersion ahead of the storms should be very good to excellent.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL increasing to 5500 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon, then decreasing to 3400 ft AGL late
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 17 mph.
Dispersion index....27 increasing to 49 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 71 late in the morning increasing
                    to 88 early in the afternoon decreasing to 73.
LVORI...............4 decreasing to 1 in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45  49  33  25  27  43  43  42  59
Weather cov.....                SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   10  10  20  30  40  50  60
Temp............78  83  85  87  89  90  90  90  90
RH..............94  80  72  65  61  58  58  58  56
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT wind spd..7   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.12  14  16  17  18  17  17  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.7 3.7 4.6 5.1 5.5 5.4 3.9 3.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   SW  SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.12  14  16  17  17  17  17  16  17
Dispersion idx..27  49  71  88  85  88  90  76  70
LVORI...........4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    early in the evening. Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 9 mph becoming 6 to 8 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....32 decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
Sky (%).........51           30           38
Weather cov.....CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR       NONE         NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).50           10           0
Temp............87           77           75
RH..............61           88           94
20 FT wind......W 9G15       SW 6G12      SW 7G14
Mix hgt (ft)....1500         400          400
Transport wind..W 14         SW 9         W 12
Dispersion idx..32           4            7
LVORI...........1            5            6

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the morning, then
                    showers and thunderstorms likely early in the
                    morning. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 2700 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 20 mph.
Dispersion index....13 increasing to 33 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 47 late in the morning increasing
                    to 55 late in the morning decreasing to 43
                    increasing to 51 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............7 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........55           76           74
Weather cov.....CHANCE       LIKELY       CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE       LIKELY       CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).30           70           40
Temp............73           80           84
RH..............97           83           67
20 FT wind......SW 8G15      W 10G17      W 10G16
Mix hgt (ft)....400          2100         2400
Transport wind..W 12         W 18         W 15
Dispersion idx..10           47           40
LVORI...........6            4            2

$$
Forecaster...Heil
Requested by...Jon Webb
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2515036.0/MLB
.DELDT 05/30/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jonathan.webb@myfec.com