Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
840
FNUS72 KMLB 100035
FWSMLB
Spot Forecast for Jones Island...US Wildland Fire Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
835 PM EDT Sun Aug 9 2026
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2100 EDT on August 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Deep layer high pressure will build over east central
Florida into early next week. Diurnal shower and lightning storm
chances will be below normal (10-30%) during this time. Highs will
soar into the low to mid 90s with lows well into the 70s. Peak heat
indices in the afternoon will range between 100-106 degrees. Winds
will be light overall as the pressure gradient is relatively weak
.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....3.
LVORI...............6 increasing to 8 after 3 am.
TIME (EDT) 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........42 38 28 27 31 20 22 28 24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............79 79 78 78 77 77 76 76 75
RH..............94 91 94 94 94 94 97 97 100
20 FT wind dir..E SE SE SE SE N N N N
20 FT wind spd..2 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
20 FT wind gust.10 9 9 7 7 7 7 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE SE S SE SE S S S S
Transp wind spd.7 7 7 7 7 8 7 7 6
Dispersion idx..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........6 6 6 6 6 6 8 8 8
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 5000 ft AGL late in
the morning.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 6 mph.
Dispersion index....Increasing to around 22.
LVORI...............10 decreasing to 2.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........24 26 24 25 31 40 24 18 27 33 32 32
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 10 20 20 20
Temp............75 74 76 80 85 88 89 91 92 92 93 91
RH..............100 100 100 91 80 70 66 62 56 56 54 58
20 FT wind dir..N N N N S S S S S SE SE E
20 FT wind spd..0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.5 3 3 3 6 7 7 7 8 9 9 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.3 2.2 3.1 3.9 4.4 5.0 4.8 4.3 3.7
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S SE
Transp wind spd.6 5 5 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 5 5
Dispersion idx..3 2 3 10 18 20 22 19 22 22 22 22
LVORI...........9 10 9 6 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest
around 6 mph after 3 am.
Dispersion index....Decreasing to around 2 or 3.
LVORI...............3 increasing to 7.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........35 32 22 19 14 15 18 20 13 19 21 26
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............90 88 83 81 80 79 79 78 77 77 76 76
RH..............60 68 80 85 85 88 88 91 94 94 94 94
20 FT wind dir..E E SE SE SE SE SE S S S N N
20 FT wind spd..3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
20 FT wind gust.12 10 10 10 9 9 8 8 8 7 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NE E SE SE SE S S S S S SW SW
Transp wind spd.7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 6 6 6
Dispersion idx..19 12 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2
LVORI...........2 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers and
thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 6 mph shifting to the west 6 to
7 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 42 .
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 1.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........23 25 28 34 22 9 15 21 30 31 34 38
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 30 30
Temp............76 75 77 81 85 88 90 92 92 93 93 92
RH..............94 97 97 91 82 75 68 62 60 56 54 56
20 FT wind dir..N N N N W W W W W SW S S
20 FT wind spd..0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1
20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.6 3.8 4.8 5.5 5.8 5.8 5.5 4.7
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW W W W W W W W NW NW
Transp wind spd.5 5 6 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6
Dispersion idx..2 2 5 12 22 33 40 39 41 41 42 37
LVORI...........8 8 9 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1
$$
Forecaster...Sedlock
Requested by...Brian Pippin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619330.0/MLB
.DELDT 08/09/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brian_pippin@fws.gov