


Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
072 FNUS72 KMLB 160806 FWSMLB Spot Forecast for Atlantic Ridge D1 D3...Florida Park Service National Weather Service Melbourne FL 406 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on July 16. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Rounds of showers and isolated storms are forecast to pass from the south this morning with continued rain chances into the early afternoon. Southeast winds increase to 10-15 mph as high pressure gradually builds westward. While temperatures are expected near seasonal values (U80-L90), humid conditions will produce peak afternoon heat index values between 100-105 degrees. Smoke dispersion will be generally good. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Showers and thunderstorms likely. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 90. Min humidity........70 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 3500 ft AGL in the late morning and afternoon. Transport winds.....South 10 to 17 mph. Dispersion index....8 increasing to 53. LVORI...............8 decreasing to 3. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........21 25 33 33 34 39 32 31 41 32 Weather cov.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).40 50 60 70 60 50 50 60 50 50 Temp............77 81 84 85 86 87 88 88 88 86 RH..............95 87 80 80 77 74 72 71 70 75 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..7 8 10 10 12 12 13 13 12 10 20 FT wind gust.16 17 17 18 20 20 20 20 18 18 Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 2.0 2.5 2.8 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.1 3.1 3.1 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S SE SE S S Transp wind spd.13 15 17 17 15 16 17 15 16 16 Dispersion idx..23 41 51 56 52 51 56 51 51 50 LVORI...........5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 77. Max humidity........99 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the late evening and overnight. Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph. Dispersion index....45 decreasing to 7. LVORI...............4 increasing to 6 in the late evening and overnight. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........43 26 30 26 14 18 Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).50 30 10 10 10 10 Temp............85 81 79 79 78 79 RH..............76 84 92 92 93 92 20 ft wind......SE 10 SE 6 SE 6 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 20 ft wind gust.17 16 16 15 15 15 Mix hgt (ft)....2600 1200 500 500 700 600 Transport wind..S 15 SE 13 SE 12 SE 12 SE 10 SE 10 Dispersion idx..45 8 7 7 6 7 LVORI...........3 4 5 6 6 6 .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Showers and thunderstorms likely. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 90. Min humidity........73 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 3000 ft AGL late in the morning. Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 18 mph. Dispersion index....8 increasing to 53 late in the morning increasing to 62 decreasing to 51 in the afternoon. LVORI...............6 increasing to 8 early in the morning, then decreasing to 4 early in the morning. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........30 47 47 49 Weather cov.....S CHC LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........S CHC CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY Chc of pcpn (%).20 60 60 70 Temp............78 83 87 87 RH..............96 86 77 74 20 FT wind......SE 6G16 SE 8G16 SE 12G17 SE 12G18 Mix hgt (ft)....600 2000 2800 2400 Transport wind..SE 13 SE 16 SE 18 SE 17 Dispersion idx..8 39 58 49 LVORI...........6 4 3 3 $$ Forecaster...Law Requested by...Miranda Cunningham Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2518066.0/MLB .DELDT 07/16/25 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL miranda.cunningham@floridadep.gov