915
FNUS72 KMLB 291129
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for BSP-07A BSP-13...Blue Spring State Park
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
729 AM EDT Tue Sep 29 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on September 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Light and variable winds to start the day eventually turn out of
the east-southeast this afternoon (5-6 mph or less). There are no
Min RH concerns at the burn site, but humidity values could drop
into the upper 40 percent range this afternoon. Dispersion will be
poor to fair due to the presence of lighter winds. Upper level
clouds increase through the day, and the chance for an isolated
shower remains less than 15 percent. Temperatures will reach the
upper 80s to near 90 degrees.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5-6 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 2 mph shifting to the north
                    around 3 mph late in the morning, then shifting
                    to the south 3 to 6 mph late in the morning.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 36.
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........55  68  60  55  74  66  72  69  76  71
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Temp............71  74  80  84  86  87  88  89  87  87
RH..............93  90  74  65  59  53  52  50  53  53
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..0   0   1   2   3   3   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.3   2   3   5   7   8   10  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.5 1.5 3.3 4.1 4.9 5.6 5.2 5.3 4.3
Transp wind dir.SW  NW  N   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.2   3   3   3   3   5   6   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..1   2   6   14  17  26  36  35  34  30
LVORI...........8   6   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming east around 5 mph
                    early in the evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 8 mph shifting to the south 3 to 6
                    mph late in the evening.
Dispersion index....20 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............3 increasing to 9.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........68  56  53  55  56  60  60  59  56  46  44  44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
Temp............85  81  78  77  76  75  74  73  73  72  72  71
RH..............59  67  76  79  82  87  90  93  93  97  97  100
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   SE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   3   5   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.12  10  12  10  9   8   6   5   5   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   SE  S   S   S   SW  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   6   7   8   6   6   6   5   5   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..20  6   5   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........2   3   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   8   8   9

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the afternoon. Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 8 mph late in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 4600 ft AGL late in
                    the morning, then decreasing to 2500 ft AGL
                    late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 3 mph shifting to the east 3
                    to 9 mph early in the morning.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 16 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 36 late in the morning increasing
                    to 44 early in the afternoon decreasing to 21.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 6 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 4 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 2 early in the afternoon increasing to 3.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........58  68  63  55  48  57  60  58  71  67  68  65
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  20  20  30  30  30  40
Temp............71  71  71  74  80  82  85  86  87  87  85  82
RH..............97  97  97  93  79  74  67  65  61  61  65  74
20 FT wind dir..N   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..0   1   1   2   3   5   6   6   7   7   7   8
20 FT wind gust.3   3   5   6   8   10  12  12  13  15  15  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.3 1.1 1.9 3.3 4.1 4.6 4.6 3.6 2.8 2.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   5   6   8   8   8   8   8   8   9
Dispersion idx..2   2   1   7   16  32  39  44  23  20  18  20
LVORI...........8   9   8   6   4   3   3   1   2   2   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Weitlich
Requested by...Dustin Allen
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622735.0/MLB
.DELDT 09/29/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dustin.l.allen@floridadep.gov