257
FNUS72 KMLB 290720
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for JD-G06...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
320 AM EDT Wed Jul 29 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on July 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Breezy SW winds 10-15 mph, with gusts up to 20 mph, today will
continue into Thursday, as a frontal boundary stalls north of
the area. These winds are forecast to prevent the development of
the east coast sea breeze. Isolated to scattered showers and storms
are possible this afternoon, moving offshore by this evening.
Additional showers and storms are forecast Thursday, though the
highest coverage is expected to remain north of the burn site. The
main threats with any storms will be gusts winds up to 50-55 mph,
lightning strikes, and locally heavy rainfall. No min RH concerns.
Very good dispersion each day.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 18 mph.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 77.
LVORI...............7 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32  19  23  14  19  30  32  36  38  40  41
Weather cov.....                            SCH CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  30  30  20
Temp............76  78  82  86  88  90  92  92  92  93  92
RH..............97  94  85  75  72  66  62  60  60  58  60
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   10  10  12  12  12  12  10  10
20 FT wind gust.17  16  16  17  18  18  20  18  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.6 1.9 3.0 3.6 4.0 4.5 4.5 4.2 4.0 4.0
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.12  13  15  17  18  18  18  17  17  16  17
Dispersion idx..5   10  37  64  76  77  75  74  72  69  77
LVORI...........7   6   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 16 mph.
Dispersion index....70 decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........42     38     34     39     41     33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
Temp............91     86     83     81     78     77
RH..............62     70     77     79     88     90
20 ft wind......SW 9   SW 7   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6
20 ft wind gust.17     16     17     17     17     17
Mix hgt (ft)....3700   1100   500    500    400    500
Transport wind..W 16   W 13   W 13   W 13   SW 12  SW 13
Dispersion idx..70     6      6      7      8      6
LVORI...........1      3      4      4      5      6

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 17 mph.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 69 early in the afternoon.
LVORI...............7 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........24        33        63        76
Weather cov.....                              S CHC
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                              S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0         10        10        20
Temp............77        82        90        92
RH..............90        85        66        60
20 FT wind......SW 7G16   SW 8G15   SW 10G17  W 10G18
Mix hgt (ft)....500       2100      4300      5300
Transport wind..SW 12     SW 14     W 15      W 15
Dispersion idx..6         36        68        61
LVORI...........6         4         1         1

$$
Forecaster...Wishard
Requested by...Emily Harrington
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2618515.0/MLB
.DELDT 07/29/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Emily.M.Harrington@FloridaDEP.gov