Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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401
FNUS72 KMLB 300821
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Spot Forecast for Three Lakes - B4, F6, E5...FWC
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
421 AM EDT Wed Jul 30 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on July 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
Hazardous heat continues today, with a Heat Advisory in effect from
Noon to 7 PM for peak heat index values of 108-112 degrees this
afternoon. Winds will be relatively light out of the southwest up
to 5 to 7 mph today. Scattered showers and storms will develop in
the vicinity of the burn site (chance of rain around 50 percent)
this afternoon into early evening. Greatest chance for rain at the
burn site will be from 5-8 PM. Some stronger storms will be
possible, producing strong and erratic wind gusts, frequent
lightning and locally heavy rainfall. No minimum RH concerns, with
generally good dispersion values forecast.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon, then chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph late
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 5100 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 25 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 43.
LVORI...............7 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   5   5   9   15  24  33  38  38  37
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  20  20  30  40
Temp............79  83  88  91  92  94  95  94  94  93
RH..............97  85  72  66  62  56  53  54  54  56
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.5   6   7   8   9   10  12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.5 2.5 3.3 4.0 4.2 5.1 4.8 4.0 3.3
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   7   6   6   6   6   7   6   7   6
Dispersion idx..4   14  20  25  32  33  43  38  36  29
LVORI...........7   4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late
                    in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph becoming light. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 8 mph shifting to the west 5 to
                    6 mph overnight.
Dispersion index....24 decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............3 increasing to 9.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........45  43  40  47  40  33  26  21  20  17  18  19
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  40  30  30  20  10  10  0   0   0   10
Temp............91  89  84  81  80  79  78  78  77  77  76  76
RH..............62  66  80  85  88  91  94  94  97  97  98  98
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10  9   8   7   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   SW  W   SW  W   W   W   SW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   6   6   6   6   5   5   6   6   5
Dispersion idx..24  11  4   3   3   3   3   2   2   3   3   2
LVORI...........2   3   5   5   6   6   6   7   8   7   9   9

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon, then becoming light
                    late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 24 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 38 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 46 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 36.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  12  14  19  21  23  27  30  34  40  46  51
Weather cov.....                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  50  50  50  50
Temp............75  74  77  81  85  89  91  92  94  93  93  92
RH..............100 100 100 87  75  66  61  57  53  54  55  56
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT wind gust.3   3   5   5   6   8   9   10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.4 2.3 3.2 3.9 4.6 5.2 4.9 4.6 4.3
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..3   2   3   10  20  28  34  42  48  43  38  34
LVORI...........9   9   8   5   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Weitlich
Requested by...Steve Glass
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2518821.0/MLB
.DELDT 07/30/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL steve.glass@myfwc.com