137
FNUS72 KMLB 160804
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for KR- Starvation Slough...South Florida Water Management District
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
404 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on June 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

No fire weather concerns are forecast near the burn site. Minimum
RH values remain above critical thresholds. Light southerly winds
are forecast to pick up to 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon, becoming
light once again overnight. Mostly dry near the site, with only a
20 percent chance of rain today. Afternoon smoke dispersion values
will be fair to good. Similar weather set up for tomorrow, with no
fire weather concerns on Tuesday and mostly dry weather
anticipated near the burn site.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL increasing to 5800 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....28 increasing to 45 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3 decreasing to 1 late in the morning.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9   15  16  19  19  17  7   12  17
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  10  20  20  20  20
Temp............80  85  87  89  90  91  93  93  92
RH..............82  67  64  58  54  51  48  47  47
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SE  S   S   S   SE
20 FT wind spd..2   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.7   8   10  13  13  14  14  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 3.3 3.8 4.5 4.7 5.8 5.7 5.4 5.8
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..28  35  35  38  42  45  43  39  47
LVORI...........3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....37 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........14     18     13     11     4      3
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20     20     10     0      0      0
Temp............91     85     80     77     75     73
RH..............51     64     75     84     90     96
20 ft wind......SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   SE 5   S 3    S 2
20 ft wind gust.13     13     12     12     10     8
Mix hgt (ft)....4900   800    600    600    400    400
Transport wind..S 6    SE 8   SE 13  S 12   S 10   S 8
Dispersion idx..37     4      5      5      5      4
LVORI...........1      3      4      5      6      6

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 9 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 55.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........1      4      5      9      14     17
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     30     30
Temp............72     75     84     89     92     92
RH..............100    96     70     57     49     47
20 ft wind......S 2    S 2    S 5    S 7    SE 8   SE 9
20 ft wind gust.7      7      9      13     15     16
Mix hgt (ft)....400    700    3000   4800   6100   6000
Transport wind..S 7    S 7    S 7    SE 7   SE 8   SE 8
Dispersion idx..3      7      27     39     54     55
LVORI...........9      6      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Tollefsen
Requested by...Andrew West
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2516005.0/MLB
.DELDT 06/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL anwest@sfwmd.gov