Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
167 FXUS64 KMOB 081124 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 624 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 ...New Aviation... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1241 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 Now through Tuesday... Upper level high pressure centered over the northern Gulf coast shifts west as an upper trough develops over the East Coast, bringing northwesterly flow to the forecast area by the weekend. A strong shortwave trough moves into the mean upper trough Thursday into the weekend, with a cold front moving south over the Southeast in response. A drier and cooler airmass moves south over the Southeast for the end of the week into the weekend in response. A surface low develops off the Florida Atlantic coast by the weekend, which then moves north along the east coast on the east side of the mean upper trough. Low level easterly flow on the north side of the system moves Atlantic moisture inland over the Southeast, temporarily slowing down the push of drier air over Southeast into the weekend. By Monday, though, the drier airmass pushes south over mainly eastern half of the Southeast. A few showers or a thunderstorm or two are possible Wednesday, shifting south for Thursday, then offshore for Friday. The rest of the forecast remains dry. Looking at temperatures, well above seasonal high temperatures in the mid to upper 80s Wednesday, drop below seasonal for Friday (high temperatures ranging from the upper 70s over the northeastern half of the forecast area to low 80s over the southwest). From there, temperatures moderate upwards, into the low to mid 80s by Tuesday. Low temperatures see the same dip the end of the week, from low/mid 60s north of Highway 84 to low 70s along the coast Wednesday night to well below seasonal low to mid 50s over most of the forecast area Saturday night. From there, low temperatures see an uptick of a few degrees the rest of the forecast. Moderate easterly flow will work with an increasing tidal cycle to keep a Moderate to at times High Risk of Rip currents into Saturday. Winds shift to more northeast over the weekend, with the Rip Risk dropping to Low by Sunday. /16 && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 624 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 Patchy morning fog, potentially dense with low ceilings mainly west of I-65, dissipates by mid morning. Some isolated convection is possible today, with MVFR conditions accompanying the stronger storms. VFR conditions are otherwise anticipated through tonight. A northeasterly flow around 5 knots develops this morning and becomes southeasterly near the coast in the afternoon. /29 && .MARINE... Issued at 1241 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 Light to moderate easterly winds mid week will become a more moderate offshore by the end of the week. No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas possible near thunderstorms mid week. /16 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 87 67 86 64 81 59 82 58 / 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 87 72 86 65 81 64 82 61 / 20 10 20 10 0 0 0 0 Destin 87 72 85 65 81 65 82 63 / 20 10 20 10 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 89 65 86 59 81 55 84 52 / 20 10 20 10 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 85 62 84 61 80 55 80 53 / 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Camden 86 63 83 59 79 56 80 53 / 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 Crestview 88 67 86 60 80 57 82 52 / 30 10 20 10 0 0 0 0 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ This product is also available on the web at: www.weather.gov/mob