Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
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458 FXUS64 KMOB 262332 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 632 PM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026 ...New UPDATE, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 632 PM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026 - A cooler and drier air mass remains present into the beginning of next week bringing below normal low temperatures and low humidity. - A Low risk of rip currents continues through Tuesday before increasing to a High risk by Thursday for all area beaches. && .UPDATE... Issued at 631 PM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026 The forecast remains on track for tonight. /22 && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 142 PM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026 Dry conditions will continue through early next week as very dry air continues to filter into the area from the north. High temperatures are now on the uptrend with mid to upper 80s this afternoon and upper 80s to around 90 Sunday and Monday. Another reinforcing push of dry air looks to enter the area from the north tonight into Sunday, with dew points now expected to drop into the 40s across much of the interior from Sunday afternoon through late Monday, and 50s dew points potentially making it all the way to the coast. Relative humidity values may drop to near 25% over interior counties both days, but winds will remain below Red Flag criteria. The dry air will also allow low temperatures to drop below average through Monday night, with the coolest nights looking to be Sunday and Monday nights, ranging from mid to upper 60s near the coast to mid to upper 50s over the interior. There is some uncertainty in how far south the dry air and cool lows will make it, depending on where the marine boundary sets up each night, so the coast may stay a bit more mild and humid. By Tuesday, northerly flow weakens and transitions to a southeasterly low-level flow by Wednesday as high pressure builds along the East Coast. This will quickly bring more humid conditions back into the area along with gradually increasing rain chances through the end of the week. Troughing approaching from the west along with PWATs increasing to over 2 inches may lead to more numerous coverage of showers and storms by the end of the week into next weekend. Above average temperatures with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s are forecast through much of the week. A Low risk of rip currents will continue for Alabama and northwest Florida beaches through Tuesday. The risk then increases to Moderate by Wednesday and High by Thursday with an increasing onshore flow. JGC/98 && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 632 PM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026 VFR conditions will prevail through Saturday afternoon along with light winds. /22 && .MARINE... Issued at 243 PM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026 Light and variable flow will continue through tonight. Northwesterly morning flow and southwesterly afternoon flow develops for Sunday and Monday. Flow will transition to a more persistent moderate southeasterly flow by midweek with seas increasing to 2-4 feet as surface high pressure builds to the northeast. JGC/98 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 67 90 64 90 / 0 0 0 10 Pensacola 71 89 67 89 / 0 0 0 10 Destin 73 87 69 87 / 0 0 0 10 Evergreen 61 88 57 88 / 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 63 89 60 89 / 0 0 0 0 Camden 61 87 57 88 / 0 0 0 0 Crestview 63 89 59 89 / 0 0 0 0 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$