Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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458
FXUS64 KMOB 262332
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
632 PM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 632 PM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026

 - A cooler and drier air mass remains present into the beginning
   of next week bringing below normal low temperatures and low
   humidity.

 - A Low risk of rip currents continues through Tuesday before
   increasing to a High risk by Thursday for all area beaches.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 631 PM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026

The forecast remains on track for tonight. /22

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 142 PM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026

Dry conditions will continue through early next week as very dry
air continues to filter into the area from the north. High
temperatures are now on the uptrend with mid to upper 80s this
afternoon and upper 80s to around 90 Sunday and Monday. Another
reinforcing push of dry air looks to enter the area from the north
tonight into Sunday, with dew points now expected to drop into
the 40s across much of the interior from Sunday afternoon through
late Monday, and 50s dew points potentially making it all the way
to the coast. Relative humidity values may drop to near 25% over
interior counties both days, but winds will remain below Red Flag
criteria. The dry air will also allow low temperatures to drop
below average through Monday night, with the coolest nights
looking to be Sunday and Monday nights, ranging from mid to upper
60s near the coast to mid to upper 50s over the interior. There is
some uncertainty in how far south the dry air and cool lows will
make it, depending on where the marine boundary sets up each
night, so the coast may stay a bit more mild and humid.

By Tuesday, northerly flow weakens and transitions to a
southeasterly low-level flow by Wednesday as high pressure builds
along the East Coast. This will quickly bring more humid
conditions back into the area along with gradually increasing rain
chances through the end of the week. Troughing approaching from
the west along with PWATs increasing to over 2 inches may lead to
more numerous coverage of showers and storms by the end of the
week into next weekend. Above average temperatures with highs in
the upper 80s to low 90s are forecast through much of the week.

A Low risk of rip currents will continue for Alabama and northwest
Florida beaches through Tuesday. The risk then increases to
Moderate by Wednesday and High by Thursday with an increasing
onshore flow. JGC/98

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 632 PM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through Saturday afternoon along with
light winds. /22

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 243 PM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026

Light and variable flow will continue through tonight.
Northwesterly morning flow and southwesterly afternoon flow
develops for Sunday and Monday. Flow will transition to a more
persistent moderate southeasterly flow by midweek with seas
increasing to 2-4 feet as surface high pressure builds to the
northeast. JGC/98

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      67  90  64  90 /   0   0   0  10
Pensacola   71  89  67  89 /   0   0   0  10
Destin      73  87  69  87 /   0   0   0  10
Evergreen   61  88  57  88 /   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  63  89  60  89 /   0   0   0   0
Camden      61  87  57  88 /   0   0   0   0
Crestview   63  89  59  89 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$