284
FXUS64 KMOB 052313
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
613 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025

...New Aviation...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025

Forecast looks on track with dry conditions persisting through
majority of the forecast. The upper trough that has been firmly
planted over the eastern US will relax some today which in result
will lead to slightly higher temperature through Sunday. A re-
enforcing upper trough will push across the Great Lakes on
Saturday into Sunday bringing a isolated chance of rain across
southeastern Mississippi before pushing yet another front through
the area. Drier air will quickly move in from the northwest
bringing noticably drier conditions across the area for the
remainder of the week. The only real thing we need to watch rain
wise would be across the immediate coastline as the remnant
boundary loiters offshore. Current guidance tends to think it
should remain offshore keeping the POPs below 10% for most of the
week; however, if the boundary does not quite make it as far
offshore and moisture is a little better then an isolated storm or
two along the seabreeze each afternoon next week cannot be ruled
out. Temperatures will remain in the upper 80s to low 90s across
the week and the biggest change will be noticed with the dewpoints
staying lower. This means you might be able to make it to the
mailbox before sweating. Probably wont make it to the box and back
but its better than sweating by just looking outside like it
normally feels like. Given the lower dewpoints, gustier winds and
drier conditions, we may need to keep an eye on some minor fire
weather concerns but given its still our soggy season we probably
won`t reach any criteria. Just something to keep an eye on. BB-8


&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 609 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025

VFR conditions are expected to prevail over the next 24 hours.
Light and variable winds tonight will become a light northerly
wind on Saturday. Winds along the coast may quickly turn southerly
to southeasterly during the afternoon hours as the sea breeze
moves inland. /96

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025

A mostly light diurnal flow will continue through Saturday with
an onshore flow developing in the afternoon then becoming offshore
at night. A northerly flow follows for Sunday and strengthens Sunday
night before relaxing slightly on Monday. A moderate to
occasionally strong east to northeasterly flow develops Monday
night and persists on Tuesday. Will likely need to monitor the
Monday through Tuesday timeframe for small craft advisory
conditions and small craft will likely need to exercise caution
during that time. BB-8


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      71  92  70  90  66  89  69  88 /   0  10   0  10   0  10  10  30
Pensacola   74  91  74  92  70  90  72  88 /   0  10   0  10   0  10  20  30
Destin      75  89  75  91  72  88  73  86 /   0  10   0  10   0  20  20  30
Evergreen   70  94  68  91  62  90  66  89 /   0  10   0   0   0  10  10  10
Waynesboro  70  90  67  87  62  87  65  89 /  10  20   0   0   0   0   0  10
Camden      72  91  68  88  62  89  67  88 /   0  10   0   0   0   0   0  10
Crestview   70  93  70  92  64  90  68  87 /   0  10   0  10   0  20  10  20

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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