496
FXUS64 KMOB 021110
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
610 AM CDT Sat Aug 2 2025

...New Aviation...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1237 AM CDT Sat Aug 2 2025

An upper high pressure area will remain centered over the Desert
Southwest throughout the forecast. A weak upper trough will reside
over our region over the weekend, followed by a stronger medium
amplified upper trough digging over much of the eastern CONUS and
northern Gulf through next week. A surface frontal boundary across
the forecast area will slip just south of the coast tonight and
stall, then lift back north and slowly dissipate through early
next week. With persistent weakness aloft, enhanced daily rain
chances will continue throughout the forecast. Activity will
generally follow a typical diurnal pattern, with showers and
thunderstorms developing during the morning over our marine zones
and along the coast, and then spread inland throughout the day
with scattered to numerous coverage of showers and thunderstorms
by early afternoon. Showers and storms will then linger through at
least mid-evening before dissipating. We can`t rule out a few
strong storms with gusty winds, frequent lightning, as well as
very heavy rainfall.

With the stronger medium amplified upper trough over our area
early next week, we expect some cooler temperatures. Highs are
expected to drop into the low/mid 80s northeast of a Butler to
Crestview line Monday and Tuesday, with upper 80s to around 90
degrees across the remainder of the forecast area. A LOW risk of
rip currents will continue through early next week. /22

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 609 AM CDT Sat Aug 2 2025

VFR flight category prevails across the region outside of showers
and storms through this evening. Temporary reductions in ceiling
and visibility can be expected underneath any showers or storms.
Winds will generally be light and variable across the region at
less than 5 knots, with southwesterly winds prevailing nearer the
coast at around 5 to 10 knots. MM/25

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1237 AM CDT Sat Aug 2 2025

A light westerly to southwesterly flow today will become variable
along the coast through the remainder of the weekend as a frontal
boundary slips just south of the coast and stalls. A light onshore
flow will follow through the middle of next week. Seas will remain
generally 2 feet or less. /22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      91  74  90  74  86  72  87  73 /  80  50  80  50  80  60  90  50
Pensacola   92  77  90  76  85  76  87  77 /  70  50  90  60  80  80  90  50
Destin      92  78  90  77  87  77  89  78 /  60  50  90  70  90  80  80  50
Evergreen   93  72  90  72  85  71  87  70 /  80  60  80  50  80  60  90  50
Waynesboro  90  72  89  70  87  70  86  70 /  80  50  50  20  60  40  70  30
Camden      90  72  88  70  83  70  84  70 /  80  50  70  40  70  50  80  40
Crestview   93  73  89  72  86  72  87  72 /  70  60  90  70  90  70  90  50

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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