251
FXUS64 KMOB 261110
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
610 AM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 607 AM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026

 - A cooler and drier air mass remains present into the beginning
   of next week bringing below normal low temperatures and lower
   humidity.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 607 AM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026

Current forecast on track with no updates needed at this time.
/16

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1136 PM CDT Fri Sep 25 2026

We had our first real taste of fall Friday with largely below
normal temperatures and very comfortable dewpoints in the low 60s.
High temperatures will slowly increase to at/above normal by
Sunday with largely upper 80s and low 90s expected through the
remainder of the forecast period. Thanks to such a dry air mass,
the afternoon dewpoints are decent in the low 60s Saturday and
further drop for interior areas into the 50s through Tuesday. This
keeps humidity quite low and it will feel much more comfortable
than typical when temperatures are near 90. Even though high
temperatures will be above normal, low temperatures will generally
be slightly below normal with upper 60s along the coast and low
60s inland, potentially even some upper 50s for our far northern
counties.

The area continues to have dry conditions with near zero pops
through at least the beginning of next week. PWATs are well below
normal around 1.1 inches. PWATs stay below normal leading into next
Wednesday before more appreciable moisture return puts the area
at/above normal to end the week in conjunction with decreasing
subsidence as a trough moves in from the west. This change increases
precipitation chances with scattered to locally numerous storms to
end the week.

...BEACH FORECAST...

For the beaches in southern Alabama and the northwest Florida
Panhandle, the rip current risk drops to LOW for Saturday into mid
next week and surf heights remain around 1 foot.

SS/97

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 607 AM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026

VFR conditions expected through the forecast. Light northeasterly
winds will become easterly, then southeasterly 5 to 10 knots by
this afternoon.
/16

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 336 AM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026

Light to at time moderate northeasterly flow will transition to
a light onshore today, then become more variable into the coming
week. A more persistent onshore flow returns by mid week as a
surface ridge builds west over the Southeast.
/16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      87  68  90  63 /   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   86  70  89  66 /   0   0   0   0
Destin      84  72  88  68 /   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   86  63  87  56 /   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  87  64  88  58 /   0   0   0   0
Camden      86  62  86  56 /   0   0   0   0
Crestview   87  64  89  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$