Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
754 FXUS64 KMOB 222326 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 626 PM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025 ...New Aviation... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1247 PM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025 A weak upper trof lingers over the region through Saturday, then is absorbed into a large upper trof which evolves over the central and eastern CONUS. A weak surface trof over the forecast area moves into the marine area tonight, aided by a weak land breeze circulation, then returns Saturday into the coastal counties with the sea breeze. This cycle repeats Saturday night into Sunday while a surface low well off to the north (associated with the large upper trof) brings a cold front towards the area. The cold front moves through late Sunday night into early Monday morning and welcomes drier and cooler air into the region. Have gone with mostly chance to good chance pops on Saturday along and east of I-65 tapering to dry conditions over portions of Choctaw and Wayne counties. For Sunday, have gone with chance pops along and east of I-65 with slight chance pops elsewhere. Dry conditions are expected to prevail for Monday through Thursday, then slight chance to chance pops return for Friday. Highs on Saturday through Monday range from around 90 to the mid 90s, then highs trend cooler through Wednesday to the mid to upper 80s with similar highs for Thursday and Friday. Lows tonight through Sunday night typically range from around 70 well inland to the mid 70s at the coast. Lows Monday night and Tuesday night range from the mid 60s inland to the lower 70s at the coast, then Wednesday night looks to be the coolest night and ranges from the lower 60s well inland to around 70 at the coast. Lows Thursday night range from the mid 60s inland to the lower 70s at the coast. A low risk of rip currents is expected through Tuesday. /29 && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 624 PM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025 Outside of showers and storms, VFR flight category prevails through Saturday. Underneath any showers and storms, expect temporary reductions in ceiling and visibility. Winds will be light and variable through the night, becoming mostly northerly for the day Saturday at less than 5 knots. Nearer the coast winds turn southwesterly at around 5 knots during the afternoon Saturday. MM/25 && .MARINE... Issued at 1247 PM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025 A generally light westerly to southwesterly flow pattern will be in place through Sunday. A light to moderate offshore flow prevails for Monday through Wednesday except for briefly becoming southerly near shore Monday afternoon and Tuesday afternoon. No impacts are anticipated other than higher winds and seas near storms. /29 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 72 91 72 93 72 94 69 91 / 30 40 20 30 10 10 0 10 Pensacola 75 90 76 92 75 93 72 91 / 50 50 30 40 20 10 0 10 Destin 77 88 77 90 77 92 74 90 / 60 60 40 40 20 10 0 10 Evergreen 71 93 70 94 70 94 65 92 / 30 40 20 30 10 0 0 0 Waynesboro 71 94 68 93 70 94 66 90 / 10 10 10 20 0 0 0 10 Camden 71 91 71 90 70 91 64 87 / 30 20 10 20 0 0 0 0 Crestview 72 89 71 92 71 93 67 91 / 40 50 30 40 10 10 0 10 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ This product is also available on the web at: www.weather.gov/mob