717
FXUS64 KMOB 120502
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1202 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...New Aviation, Discussion, Marine...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

A cutoff upper low over the southeast states opens up into a
trough and ejects northeast across the Mid-Atlantic states today
into Monday. This feature will keep dry deep layer northerly flow
in place over the forecast area, likewise keeping the forecast
dry. Given the dry air, light low level winds, and mostly clear
skies over the area, we will likely see a rather large diurnal
cycle each day through Tuesday. Afternoon highs warm above normal
into the lower to middle 80`s today and middle to upper 80`s
Monday into Tuesday. Overnight lows will be decently below normal
tonight and Monday night with lows falling into the lower to
middle 50`s for most locations.

As we head into mid-week upper ridging starts to build in putting
the area underneath a prevailing deep layer easterly to
northeasterly flow. This will help to warm temperatures even more
with highs the rest of the week topping out in the middle to
upper 80`s, perhaps even a couple spots reaching 90 Wednesday
through Friday. Overnight lows follow suit warming into the middle
and upper 50`s inland and lower 60`s nearer the coast Tuesday
night through Friday night. We may finally see isolated shower and
storm coverage try to return to the forecast next weekend as
upper ridging breaks down and upper troughing tries to move into
the region. A Low risk of rip currents continues through the week.
MM/25

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

VFR flight category prevails across the region today into tonight.
Winds remain generally out of the north near or below 5 knots
this morning into the afternoon, becoming calm overnight tonight.
MM/25

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

A light to moderate northeasterly flow this morning becomes a light
offshore flow will then prevail through Thursday, with the exception
of a brief onshore flow developing both Wednesday and Thursday
afternoons associated with the diurnal cycle. Light to moderate
onshore flow returns Friday. No marine impacts are expected at
this time through the end of the week. MM/25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      55  84  55  86  58  85  59  86 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   61  84  61  86  62  85  64  85 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Destin      63  81  64  84  64  85  65  84 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   52  85  52  88  53  88  56  89 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  52  84  52  87  55  85  57  86 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Camden      52  85  51  87  54  85  56  87 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Crestview   52  85  51  88  53  87  56  87 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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