125
FXUS64 KMOB 041207
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
707 AM CDT Thu Sep 4 2025

...New Aviation, Discussion...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 651 AM CDT Thu Sep 4 2025

A weak shortwave will continue to move southeast through the early
morning and bring scattered to broken cloud cover and a few stray
showers through mid morning. This shortwave will be east of the
area by late morning with mainly scattered fair weather cumulus
expected through the afternoon. Overall rain chances remain too
low to mention in the forecast, but a very isolated storm
developing along an inland advancing seabreeze circulation cannot
be ruled out during peak heating. Once again, the potential
remains quite low and most locations will remain dry.

Very warm temperatures can also be expected with most areas
topping out in the lower 90s this afternoon. Morning dewpoints
in the upper 60s to around 70 degrees should mix out later this
afternoon into the lower to middle 60s inland as the boundary
layer mixes up to around 5kft or so. Closer to the coast there
will be a bit less mixing so dewpoints should remain in the middle
to upper 60s. So although high temperatures will be very warm, we
are not expecting any significant heat issues as heat indices will
remain in the lower to middle 90s.

The next chance for any increased rain chances will be over the
weekend as a cold front advances through the region. Although
there will be increasing chances, storm coverage should remain
scattered at best with the highest chances over our inland
counties by Saturday afternoon. Overall, the pattern appears to
support a rather extended period of mainly dry weather conditions
with above normal temperatures through the weekend, dropping to
near or below average behind the cold front for early next week.
/JLH

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 651 AM CDT Thu Sep 4 2025

VFR ceilings and visibilities are anticipated through the forecast
period with winds at the TAF sites mainly influenced by the
diurnal sea and land breezes. A fairly weak pressure gradient
should keep winds at 10 kts or below through the period. /JLH

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1254 PM CDT Wed Sep 3 2025

A mostly light diurnal flow will continue through Saturday with
an onshore flow developing in the afternoon then becoming offshore
at night. A northerly flow follows for Sunday and strengthens Sunday
night before diminishing on Monday. A moderate to occasionally
strong northeasterly flow develops Monday night then diminishes
somewhat on Tuesday and becomes easterly. Small craft should
exercise caution mainly over the open Gulf waters late Sunday
night into Monday morning and on Tuesday morning. No other impacts
are anticipated other than higher winds and seas near storms. /29

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      90  71  91  70  91  71  89  66 /  10   0   0   0  10  10  10  10
Pensacola   88  73  90  73  91  74  91  69 /   0   0   0   0  10   0  10  10
Destin      87  74  88  75  89  75  90  71 /   0   0   0   0  10   0  10  10
Evergreen   93  68  96  69  94  69  90  63 /   0   0   0   0  10   0  10   0
Waynesboro  90  69  94  68  91  68  86  62 /  10   0   0   0  20  10  10  10
Camden      90  70  95  71  92  69  85  62 /   0   0   0   0  10  10  10   0
Crestview   91  68  93  69  93  69  90  65 /   0   0   0   0  10   0  10   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob