149
FXUS64 KMOB 301904
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
204 PM CDT Sat Aug 30 2025

...New Discussion, Marine...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 204 PM CDT Sat Aug 30 2025

An eastern states upper trof becomes oriented mostly over the East
Coast states through Sunday, then evolves into a rather large
upper trof through Tuesday which spans the eastern and central
states. A weak frontal boundary meanders mostly across the marine area
through tonight, then slowly moves further offshore Sunday into
Monday. A series of shortwaves will continue to move across the
area within the upper trof pattern, and have gone with slight
chance pops near the coast for tonight through Sunday, then for
Monday will have slight chance to chance pops generally near the
coast. The large upper trof amplifies Wednesday into Friday, and
while there is uncertainty with the surface pattern evolution, at
this point it looks like a weak front will move through the area
on Wednesday with a reinforcing cold front moving through roughly
on Thursday. Rain chances trend to slight chance to chance pops
by Wednesday, then dry conditions are anticipated for Thursday and
Friday. Lows tonight and Sunday night range from the mid 60s
inland to around 70 near the coast, then Monday night will be a
bit cooler and range from the lower 60s well inland to near 70 at
the immediate coast. Overnight lows Tuesday night and Wednesday
night tend to range from the mid 60s inland to the lower 70s at
the coast, then trend cooler by Friday night to range from around
60/lower 60s inland to the upper 60s at the coast. Highs on Sunday
through Wednesday will be mostly in the mid to upper 80s, then
Thursday will be a bit warmer and in the upper 80s to lower 90s.
Highs on Friday will be 85-90. A low risk of rip currents is
expected through Wednesday. /29

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1247 PM CDT Sat Aug 30 2025

MVFR ceilings are currently in place across much of the local area
at issuance time. Satellite imagery, however, does show that this
cloud deck is beginning to scatter out, and therefore am
anticipating VFR conditions to return to the area over the next
couple hours. VFR conditions will then prevail through the evening
and into the overnight hours, with MVFR ceilings returning by
around daybreak on Sunday. Light northeasterly winds will likely
continue through the period. /96

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 204 PM CDT Sat Aug 30 2025

A light northerly flow develops this afternoon then becomes a
light to moderate northeasterly flow for tonight and Sunday. A
moderate northeasterly flow develops by Monday morning (with
possible brief Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions over the
Gulf waters) then becomes a light to moderate easterly flow for
Monday afternoon through Tuesday. A northerly to westerly flow
develops by Thursday. No other impacts are anticipated other than
higher winds and seas near storms. /29

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      68  87  69  86  67  88  68  89 /  10  20  10  20  10  30  20  30
Pensacola   71  86  71  86  70  87  72  88 /  20  20  10  20  20  30  30  30
Destin      72  87  73  87  71  86  73  86 /  30  20  10  20  20  30  30  30
Evergreen   66  88  65  88  62  90  65  90 /   0  10   0  10  10  10  20  30
Waynesboro  65  87  64  87  63  88  63  88 /   0   0   0  10  10  20  20  20
Camden      65  87  66  86  62  88  63  87 /   0   0   0  10  10  10  20  30
Crestview   67  86  67  86  63  88  67  88 /  10  20   0  10  10  20  20  30

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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