362
FXUS64 KMOB 182335
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
635 PM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025

...New Aviation...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 419 PM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025

...Tonight through Thursday Night...

Weak upper troughing overhead persists through the day Thursday
allowing for the area to continue to have showers and thunderstorms
affecting the region during the afternoon into early evening hours.
Coverage becomes more focused nearer the coast and areas along and
east of the I-65 corridor for Thursday. A few strong to severe
storms can`t be ruled out once again with ample CAPE and relatively
weak shear across the area with primary hazards being gusty winds,
small hail, frequent lightning, and heavy rainfall. Nuisance,
localized flash flooding can`t be ruled out in any spots that see
training thunderstorms. Temperatures remain warm in the upper 80`s
and lower 90`s for highs with lows in the lower to middle 70`s. A
moderate risk of rip currents remains in place through Thursday
night. MM/25

Friday Through Tuesday...

Ridging aloft builds into the region through the weekend before
expanding up into the East Coast early next week. Rain chances
decrease markedly (in comparison to the past few days) in this
pattern. Isolated to scattered showers and storms are possible each
afternoon, especially along the sea breeze, over the weekend and
into early next week. The highest rain chances throughout the period
will be on Friday afternoon (generally east of I-65) as the
lingering trough finally kicks out of the region as ridging begins
to build in. The heat starts to ramp up this weekend into next week
under ridging aloft. Heat indices will generally range from 101-
107F this weekend and early next week with a few locations
potentially hitting 108-109F for an hour or so.

Beach Forecast - The rip current risk remains LOW Friday through
Sunday for the coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches. The
rip current probability guidance remains LOW on Monday and Tuesday.
07/mb

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 613 PM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025

Mostly VFR conditions across the area with only a couple isolated
showers and thunderstorms noted. Storms should subside over the
next few hours leading to widespread VFR conditions. Scattered
showers will develop along the immediate coast during the morning
and spread inland tomorrow around noon leading to temporary
reductions in visibilities and ceilings to MVFR and even IFR.
Winds will remain light out of the south. BB-8

 &&

.MARINE...
Issued at 419 PM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025

A generally light and predominately onshore flow is expected through
the weekend outside of a temporary westerly flow on Thursday. The
environment continues to be supportive of waterspouts in morning
shower or storm activity near the coast. MM/25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      74  91  73  93  74  93  74  92 /  10  60  30  50  20  40  10  40
Pensacola   77  90  78  92  77  91  77  90 /  20  50  40  50  20  40  10  40
Destin      80  89  80  92  80  92  79  91 /  30  50  40  50  30  40  20  40
Evergreen   71  92  72  94  72  96  72  95 /  10  60  20  50  10  40  10  40
Waynesboro  72  92  70  93  72  95  72  95 /  10  50  20  50  10  30  10  40
Camden      71  90  72  91  71  94  72  93 /  10  50  20  30  10  20  10  30
Crestview   72  92  73  94  72  95  72  94 /  10  60  30  60  20  50  10  50

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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