059
FXUS64 KMOB 312344
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
644 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 142 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

- A Moderate Risk of Rip Currents is in place for local area
  beaches across Alabama and Florida today.

- Daily shower/storm chances will persist through the week, with
  an increase in afternoon coverage on Thursday. Waterspouts will
  be possible over the Gulf waters mainly during the morning hours
  each day.

- Heat index values near 100 trend higher through this week,
  potentially reaching 105-108 in some locations by late in the
  week on into Saturday.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 644 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

The forecast remains on track and no updates are needed. SS/97

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 142 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

The area will remain in an easterly mid/upper flow pattern as an
upper ridge remains centered to our north. This will maintain a
typical summer pattern with daily isolated to scattered showers
and thunderstorms through Wednesday. Weak disturbances riding west
along the southern periphery of the ridge will bring increased
rain chances Thursday into Friday. Highs will increase into the
mid 90s, but daily afternoon mixing will drop dewpoints into the
low 70s/upper 60s and prevent afternoon heat indices from reaching
widespread heat advisory criteria.

The ridge shifts westward and builds across the central plains this
weekend. This will result in a north to northwest flow pattern
across the area, potentially allowing convective complexes to move
southward into the area this weekend into early next week. /13

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 644 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Thunderstorms are
possible tomorrow afternoon near the seabreeze, however these are
expected to stay very isolated in nature. If confidence increases in
more coverage then a PROB30 may be added with the next forecast.
The current southerly winds become light and variable overnight.
By tomorrow morning, winds will be generally northeasterly to
easterly at 5-10 knots and shift southerly to southeasterly with
periodic gusts up to 15 knots as the afternoon seabreeze advances.
SS/97

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 142 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas
possible near thunderstorms. /13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      74  92  73  93 /   0  30  10  50
Pensacola   77  90  77  90 /   0  20  10  50
Destin      77  89  77  89 /  10  20  10  50
Evergreen   72  95  73  95 /  10  10   0  20
Waynesboro  73  96  73  97 /   0  10  10  20
Camden      74  95  74  95 /   0   0   0  20
Crestview   72  93  72  93 /   0  20   0  60

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$