219
FXUS64 KMOB 051915
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
115 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 115 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

 - Patchy fog is expected late tonight into Friday morning mainly
   for areas east of I-65. Areas of fog may develop but widespread
   dense fog is not expected at this time.

 - A much cooler and drier airmass moves into the area this
   weekend into early next week. Lows in the 40`s can be expected
   widespread across the area, to even mid to upper 30`s for
   inland/northern areas where patchy frost will be possible.

 - Moderate to occasional strong northerly winds over the Gulf
   Friday night into the weekend will create hazardous conditions
   for small craft.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 115 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

Isolated to scattered showers are expected to linger this evening
across portions of northwest Florida into south central Alabama
ahead of a stationary boundary situated near I-65. Patchy fog is
expected late tonight into Friday morning mainly for areas east of
I-65. Areas of fog may develop, but widespread dense fog is not
expected at this time. This front will begin to migrate southeast
this evening and move off the coast by daybreak Friday as a strong
surface high pressure area builds into the region from the
northwest over the weekend. A much cooler and drier airmass will
then filter into the region from the north over the weekend into
early next week. This will allow low temperatures to drop mainly
into the 40s area-wide both Saturday and Sunday nights, but mid
to upper 30s area forecast for inland/northern areas where patchy
frost will be possible. Dry weather conditions will largely
persist through the remainder of the forecast. /22

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1209 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

Pesky low stratus and a few heavier showers causing VIS/CIG
reductions across coastal and eastern terminals are expected to
diminish through early afternoon. A few southeastern locations may
keep MVFR CIGs, while the remainder of thlows tempeaturerse area
becomes predominantly VFR through late afternoon. Chances are
increasing that lower CIGs will develop around dusk, mainly east
of I-65. IFR conditions may develop over some terminals (including
PNS) between around 03Z and 08Z, but not enough confidence to
introduce in TAFs at this time. Localized patchy fog also cannot
be ruled out tonight. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail.
Generally light and variable winds are expected today and tonight,
becoming northerly Friday morning at around 5-10 knots. JGC/98

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 115 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

Light southwesterly to westerly winds this evening will shift
northwesterly to northerly late tonight into Friday as a cold
front slips through the area. Small craft over the Gulf should
exercise caution at a minimum late Friday into Saturday as winds
increase to 15-20kts with wave/seas responding to 2-3ft (3-4ft
outer Gulf). A Small Craft Advisory may become necessary for the
Gulf waters beyond 20 NM Friday night into Saturday morning as
northerly winds increase well behind the cold front. Winds remain
elevated going into Sunday and small craft should continue to
exercise caution. /22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      57  77  51  71 /  10   0   0   0
Pensacola   64  78  57  72 /  10   0   0   0
Destin      66  79  58  73 /  20   0   0   0
Evergreen   55  76  46  69 /  10   0   0   0
Waynesboro  48  77  45  69 /  10   0   0   0
Camden      51  73  45  66 /  10   0   0   0
Crestview   61  79  49  73 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$