Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
701 FXUS64 KMOB 130500 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1200 AM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 ...New Aviation, Discussion, Marine... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1200 AM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 Upper troughing ejects across the western Atlantic and Mid- Atlantic states today and upper ridging begins to build over the forecast area in its wake. We maintain deep layer northerly flow through Tuesday before the low to mid level flow turns more northeasterly and easterly by mid-week. With cool, dry air continuing to move across the area we can expect cool overnight lows in the lower to middle 50`s and warm afternoon highs in the middle to upper 80`s today through Tuesday night. After this, with gradually increasing moisture and ridging building in overhead, expect overnight lows to warm steadily through late week back to near normal in the upper 50`s to lower 60`s, perhaps even some middle 60`s by Friday night. Daytime highs will remain well above normal mid to late week, topping out in the middle to upper 80`s, with a few spots approaching 90. By the end of the week into the weekend, our next weather maker approaches the region with upper ridging breaking down and upper troughing digging into the central CONUS. There remains a fair amount of variance on how quickly this trough moves in and how amplified it is, but at a minimum it looks like isolated to scattered rain and thunderstorm chances return for Saturday into Sunday. With the increased cloud cover and ridging breaking down, afternoon highs cool a few degrees with the weekend featuring highs in the lower to middle 80`s. Overnight lows do warm, however, with temperatures in the middle 60`s. Increasing low level southeasterly flow across the region will help increase the rip current risk by the weekend across our local beaches, with a Moderate risk returning by Friday and potentially a High risk of rip currents this weekend. MM/25 && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1200 AM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 VFR flight category prevails across the region the rest of tonight into Monday. Winds calm over the next hour or two, with a northerly wind around 5 knots returning by mid-morning Monday. MM/25 && .MARINE... Issued at 1200 AM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 A light offshore flow will prevail through Thursday morning, with the exception of a brief onshore flow Wednesday afternoon into early evening associated with the diurnal cycle. A light southeasterly to easterly flow will return Thursday afternoon, with winds gradually increasing late in the week. MM/25 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 54 87 56 87 60 87 59 86 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 60 87 61 86 64 85 64 85 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Destin 63 85 64 86 65 85 65 84 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 51 88 53 88 55 90 56 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 51 86 53 86 57 86 57 88 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Camden 51 87 53 88 55 87 56 88 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Crestview 48 88 52 90 56 88 56 88 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ This product is also available on the web at: www.weather.gov/mob