500
FXUS64 KMOB 041743
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1143 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1133 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

 - A High Risk of life-threatening rip currents exists at all area
   beaches through this afternoon.

 - A cold front will move into the area today, with a few periods
   of rainshowers and thunderstorms across the area. The threat
   for severe thunderstorms is low at this time.

 - A much cooler and drier airmass moves into the area this
   weekend into early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1143 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

A cold front will continue to slowly move east tonight into
Wednesday. The front will stall across northwest portions of the
area Wednesday into Thursday as it becomes parallel to the mid and
upper flow. Scattered light rain showers will continue overnight
with patchy dense fog developing across portions of southeast
Mississippi and southwest Alabama due to very moist conditions. A
dense fog advisory has been issued for parts of southeast
Mississippi and southwest Alabama. The highest rain chances will
likely be Wednesday afternoon as the frontal boundary moves into
the area, mainly northwest of I-65. No severe thunderstorms are
expected. However, forcing rapidly weakens along the front as the
main energy pulls well off the north. As a result, any showers
and thunderstorms that advance into the area will weaken as they
move east. The front finally moves east Thursday night into
Friday as a stronger shortwave moves east across the Tennessee
Valley. A few showers will be possible on Friday as the front
pushes east, however most areas will remain dry. Another fast
moving system may approach the area late in the weekend into early
next week. However, there is a large spread in the models this
far out and will maintain a dry forecast for now.

A much cooler and drier airmass moves into the area for the
weekend into early next week High temps on Sunday will be in the
mid and upper 60s with upper 60s to around 70 Monday and Tuesday
Lows in the mid and upper 30s across far northern areas will be
possible Saturday night through Tuesday night. /13

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1142 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

A cold front currently slowly advancing into Stone, Perry and
Wayne counties Mississippi is anticipated to slowly progress to
near a Mobile to Camden line this afternoon and stall. The frontal
boundary remains near this position into Thursday morning with a
line of showers near/along the boundary slowly diminishing into
this evening. Mainly VFR conditions at the beginning of the period will
be followed by ceilings gradually lowering to IFR to potentially
VLIFR/LIFR with fog overnight, then improve to MVFR Thursday
morning. Southerly winds near 10 knots become light and variable
tonight. /29

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 121 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Onshore winds continue to weaken today, becoming a light and
variable flow Thursday. A light to moderate offshore flow develops
Friday, becoming a moderate offshore flow over the weekend in the
wake of a cold front. Seas 2 to 4 feet today continue to decrease to
1 to 2 feet by Thursday. MM/25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      64  83  57  78 /  20   0   0   0
Pensacola   70  81  64  77 /  10  10  10   0
Destin      71  78  66  77 /  10  20  20   0
Evergreen   66  80  55  76 /  40  10  10   0
Waynesboro  56  81  49  78 /   0   0   0   0
Camden      61  79  51  75 /  40   0   0   0
Crestview   68  82  59  78 /  10  40  20   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk until noon CST today for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk until noon CST today for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$