Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
182
FNUS74 KMOB 301227
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for Control Burn...FFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
727 AM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on September 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Winds, both surface and transport, will increase today
into tonight, bringing increasing chances of rain to the burn site,
mainly later tonight into Thursday. Direction is expected to be
southeasterly. Dispersions will rise to generally good, and afternoon
relative humidity values today are expected to remain above critical
levels.
Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1829 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 1 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 53.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3 4 13 12 14 14 29 25 19 24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............69 73 81 85 87 89 91 89 89 87
RH..............81 79 67 59 53 48 45 47 48 52
20 FT wind dir..ENE E E ESE ESE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..2 2 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.8 8 10 12 13 14 14 15 15 15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.8 2.4 3.8 4.9 5.7 6.0 5.9 5.2 5.2
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.6
Transp wind dir.E ESE ESE ESE SE SE SE SE SE SSE
Transp wind spd.3 6 7 8 7 8 8 7 8 10
Trans wind dir..E ESE ESE ESE SE SE SE SE SE SSE
Trans spd (m/s).1 3 3 4 3 4 4 3 4 4
Dispersion idx..5 7 23 36 41 50 52 47 46 52
LVORI...........4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph early in the
evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1585 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 9 mph shifting to the east
around 8 mph early in the morning.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 3 to 4 meters/second shifting to the
east around 4 meters/second early in the
morning.
Dispersion index....54 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........16 17 10 1 5 6 7 7 10 12 25 21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............83 79 77 75 73 73 72 72 72 72 71 71
RH..............65 74 82 87 93 93 97 97 97 97 97 97
20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE SE SE SE ESE ESE ESE E E E E
20 FT wind spd..6 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
20 FT wind gust.14 14 12 9 9 8 8 8 8 9 9 10
Mix hgt (kft)...5.2 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....1.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SSE SSE SE ESE SE SE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE E
Transp wind spd.9 9 8 8 7 8 7 7 7 7 8 8
Trans wind dir..SSE SSE SE ESE SE SE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE E
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4 4 3 4 3 3 3 3 4 4
Dispersion idx..54 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........1 4 5 6 6 6 8 8 8 9 9 9
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming mostly
sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of showers
in the morning, then chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 9 mph early
in the morning, then shifting to the south
around 8 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1433 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 14 mph shifting to the south
around 12 mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 4 to 6 meters/second shifting to the
south around 5 meters/second late in the
afternoon.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 44.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16 14 18 24 30 52 55 57 48 33 25 28
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 20 20 20 50 50 50 40 40
Temp............70 71 72 77 82 84 86 87 87 88 87 85
RH..............100 97 97 85 74 67 63 61 61 59 59 63
20 FT wind dir..E E E ESE ESE SE SE SE SSE SSE SSE SSE
20 FT wind spd..5 5 6 7 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 9
20 FT wind gust.12 13 14 15 17 17 18 18 20 20 18 17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.1 1.9 2.8 3.5 4.0 4.7 4.0 4.3 3.4 3.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.E E ESE SE SE SE ESE SE SSE SSE SSE SSE
Transp wind spd.9 8 10 12 12 14 13 13 12 12 12 12
Trans wind dir..E E ESE SE SE SE ESE SE SSE SSE SSE SSE
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5
Dispersion idx..4 9 13 28 39 44 46 43 42 43 43 38
LVORI...........9 8 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
$$
Forecaster...16
Requested by...RK
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622824.0/MOB
.DELDT 09/30/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryan.kaderly@fdacs.gov