190
FNUS74 KMOB 031112
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Desoto BB 8301 Knob creek...usfs
National Weather Service Mobile AL
612 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on June 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 77 EXPECTED TOMORROW AFTERNOON OVER THE
BURN AREA...

.DISCUSSION...Isolated showers are possible late this afternoon, but not
overly likely at the burn site. Minimum relative humidity remains above
critical thresholds today and falls to 36-38 percent at the burn site
tomorrow. Easterly transport winds expected with gusts potentially up to
17-20 knots both afternoons. Afternoon dispersion will be generally good
today and good by Thursday afternoon.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph in
                    the late morning and early afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...457-1067 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 14 to 16 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 6 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....29 increasing to 48.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........73     81     82     81     73
Weather cov.....                            S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      10     20
Temp............71     74     77     80     81
RH..............97     87     74     67     65
20 FT wind dir..ENE    E      E      E      E
20 FT wind spd..9      10     9      9      9
20 FT wind gust.18     20     21     21     18
Mix hgt (ft)....1500   2100   2900   3300   3000
Mix hgt (m).....460    640    880    1010   910
Transp wind dir.E      E      E      E      E
Transp wind spd.14     16     16     15     14
Trans spd (m/s).6      7      7      7      6
Dispersion idx..26     40     49     51     44
LVORI...........4      4      3      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-914 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 5 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....40 decreasing to 9.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........70     61     66     62     57     61
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20     10     0      0      0      0
Temp............79     74     71     68     65     63
RH..............69     74     71     68     68     70
20 FT wind dir..E      E      E      E      E      E
20 FT wind spd..7      6      8      7      7      7
20 FT wind gust.16     13     16     16     16     16
Mix hgt (ft)....3000   700    700    500    600    500
Mix hgt (m).....910    210    210    150    180    150
Transp wind dir.E      E      E      E      E      E
Transp wind spd.13     12     13     14     13     12
Trans spd (m/s).6      5      6      6      6      5
Dispersion idx..40     8      9      9      8      8
LVORI...........1      4      3      3      3      3

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1463 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 16 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 4 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 24 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 36 late in the morning increasing
                    to 51 late in the morning increasing to 66
                    increasing to 77 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 60 increasing to 70 late in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........28     49     53     51     49     56
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............62     65     74     78     82     84
RH..............75     75     59     47     40     38
20 FT wind dir..E      E      E      E      E      E
20 FT wind spd..7      8      9      9      9      8
20 FT wind gust.16     16     18     20     18     16
Mix hgt (ft)....400    1400   2600   3900   4800   4700
Mix hgt (m).....120    430    790    1190   1460   1430
Transp wind dir.E      E      E      E      E      ESE
Transp wind spd.12     14     16     15     14     14
Trans spd (m/s).5      6      7      7      6      6
Dispersion idx..6      24     51     70     77     72
LVORI...........4      3      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...7
Requested by...Jody Rogers
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2614838.0/MOB
.DELDT 06/03/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joseph.rogers@usda.gov