Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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716
FNUS74 KMOB 051240
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for RKC07...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
640 AM CST Wed Feb 5 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CST on February 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...LOW DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 20 POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE
BURN AREA...

.DISCUSSION...Isolated showers today, but generally to the north of the
burn area. Isolated showers possible on Thursday over the burn area.
Afternoon relative humidity values remain above critical levels today
and Thursday. Transport winds will be mostly southerly to southwesterly
today and Thursday. Dispersion index values will be poor to generally
good today and generally poor to generally good on Thursday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy to areas of fog are expected
through around mid morning this morning and again tonight.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy dense fog
                    early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1036 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 8 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 1 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 30.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........89  75  89  88  86  77  79  72  75  67  65
Weather cov.....PTY
Weather type....FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............57  60  64  69  72  74  77  78  79  76  73
RH..............100 100 100 84  79  74  67  62  60  64  73
20 FT wind dir..N   N   SSE SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..0   0   1   2   2   3   5   5   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.        2   3   3   6   7   7   9   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.2 1.9 2.6 3.3 3.4 3.1 3.1 3.1
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SSW S   S   SSW SSW S   S   S
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6   8   8
Trans wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SSW S   S   SSW SSW S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   4   4
Dispersion idx..3   3   3   5   9   13  14  15  15  22  30
LVORI...........9   9   9   5   4   3   2   2   2   2   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog
                    overnight. Areas of fog after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-213 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South around 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....4.
LVORI...............7.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........56  52  57  73  73  85  85  87  86  88  84  82
Weather cov.....                            PTY PTY ARS ARS ARS
Weather type....                            FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0
Temp............68  65  63  61  60  61  60  60  60  60  60  61
RH..............84  93  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S   SSW S   SSW S   S   S   SSW SSW S   SSW S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SSW S   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
Transp wind spd.10  9   9   8   9   9   9   10  9   9   9   8
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   SSW S   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..5   4   4   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
LVORI...........5   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Areas of fog
                    early in the morning, then patchy fog early in
                    the morning. Slight chance of showers in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-884 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 3 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 42.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........93  94  77  75  68  62  55  50  44  39  39  39
Weather cov.....ARS PTY PTY             SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG             RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  0   0   0   20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............61  61  64  68  70  72  74  76  77  77  75  71
RH..............100 100 100 97  90  84  76  71  67  67  71  81
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   5   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   9   9   10  10  12  12  13  10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.SSW SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SSW
Transp wind spd.7   8   9   10  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  10
Trans wind dir..SSW SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SSW
Trans spd (m/s).3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4
Dispersion idx..6   7   11  16  22  26  29  40  44  44  44  40
LVORI...........8   8   7   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   3

$$
Forecaster...12
Requested by...Kevin Mock
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2502312.0/MOB
.DELDT 02/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joseph.k.mock@usda.gov