Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
598
FNUS74 KMOB 031015
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for BSE13...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
415 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CST on November 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected
across the burn site today through Wednesday. Minimum relative
humidity today is near 65%, 20 ft wind gusts will be up to near
25 mph, transport winds will be mostly east-southeasterly to
easterly, and dispersion values will be fair. For Wednesday, the
minimum relative humidity is near 70%, transport winds will be
mostly southerly to south- southwesterly, and dispersion values
will be fair.
Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph with gusts to around 21
mph becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...244-823 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 17 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 5 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....20 increasing to 34 early in the morning, then
decreasing to 25 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........81 71 75 83 78 82 78 72 67 61 65 72
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 50 50 50
Temp............67 68 71 75 78 80 81 81 81 81 79 77
RH..............90 90 84 76 71 67 65 65 67 67 72 76
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE
20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 9 9 8 8 8 8 7 6 5
20 FT wind gust.18 20 20 21 21 20 20 20 20 18 17 16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.3 2.3 2.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.E E E E E ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE
Transp wind spd.14 16 17 17 17 17 17 16 16 14 13 12
Trans wind dir..E E E E E ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE
Trans spd (m/s).6 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 5
Dispersion idx..16 24 29 31 35 36 38 36 34 27 25 23
LVORI...........5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers early in the evening. Slight chance of
thunderstorms in the evening and overnight.
Showers likely in the late evening and
overnight.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the evening and
overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-152 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....7.
LVORI...............7.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........72 62 66 52 73 75 84 89 87 76 89 90
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30 30 30 60 60 60 70 70 70 70 70 70
Temp............75 71 71 71 71 71 70 70 71 69 70 70
RH..............82 97 97 97 93 93 97 97 93 97 93 93
20 FT wind dir..ESE ESE ESE SE ESE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.16 15 15 16 16 16 15 15 15 15 15 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.ESE ESE ESE ESE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.10 12 10 10 12 13 12 12 12 10 10 10
Trans wind dir..ESE ESE ESE ESE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Trans spd (m/s).4 5 4 4 5 6 5 5 5 4 4 4
Dispersion idx..7 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7
LVORI...........4 7 9 8 6 6 8 8 6 8 6 6
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Showers likely in
the morning. Chance of thunderstorms through
the day. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph early
in the morning, then becoming light late in the
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the late morning and
early afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-671 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 14 mph decreasing to 7 to 12 mph in
the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....15 increasing to 25 early in the morning, then
decreasing to 18 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........88 72 70 71 64 58 55 48 61 35 40 38
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).60 60 60 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50
Temp............69 70 72 76 78 79 80 80 80 80 79 76
RH..............97 97 97 85 79 79 77 77 74 74 77 82
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 3
20 FT wind gust.14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.SE SSE S S S S S SSW SSW SSW SSW S
Transp wind spd.12 13 14 13 13 13 10 10 10 12 9 7
Trans wind dir..SE SSE S S S S S SSW SSW SSW SSW S
Trans spd (m/s).5 6 6 6 6 6 4 4 4 5 4 3
Dispersion idx..11 18 21 23 23 22 21 27 29 28 22 18
LVORI...........7 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4
$$
Forecaster...25
Requested by...Matt Delaney
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2625049.0/MOB
.DELDT 11/03/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matthew.delaney@usda.gov