Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 041444
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Desoto BB 8301...usfs
National Weather Service Mobile AL
944 AM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on June 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 75 EXPECTED REST OF TODAY OVER
THE BURN AREA...

...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 75 EXPECTED FRIDAY OVER THE BURN
AREA...


.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions will prevail today with increasing
rain chances on Friday around 40%. For the rest of today, the
minimum relative humidity will be near 35%. 20 ft wind gusts will
be up to near 20 mph with transport winds mostly out of the east.
Afternoon dispersion values will be good. For Friday, the minimum
relative humidity will increase to near 60%. 20 ft wind gusts
will be up to near 25 mph with transport winds out of the east-
southeast. Afternoon dispersion values will be good.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.


.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the morning. Chance of
                    showers through the day. Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 9 mph with gusts to
                    around 24 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the morning. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...945-1189 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 16 to 18 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 7 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....65 increasing to 70 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........36     53     54     53
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).30     30     40     40
Temp............78     81     83     84
RH..............71     67     65     63
20 FT wind dir..E      ESE    ESE    SE
20 FT wind spd..10     10     10     10
20 FT wind gust.20     23     24     23
Mix hgt (ft)....3100   3700   3200   3900
Mix hgt (m).....940    1130   980    1190
Transp wind dir.ESE    ESE    ESE    SE
Transp wind spd.17     16     18     17
Trans wind dir..ESE    ESE    ESE    SE
Trans spd (m/s).8      7      8      8
Dispersion idx..65     68     60     66
LVORI...........3      1      1      1

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph with gusts to around
                    21 mph in the evening becoming light. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms overnight. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    after 3 am.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1189 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....65 decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........30     45     51     56     59     60
Weather cov.....CHANCE                      CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE                      S CHC  CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).40     10     10     10     40     40
Temp............82     75     73     72     71     70
RH..............65     79     84     90     93     97
20 FT wind dir..SE     SE     SE     ESE    ESE    ESE
20 FT wind spd..9      9      7      6      3      3
20 FT wind gust.21     17     16     14     13     12
Mix hgt (ft)....3900   600    600    500    500    500
Mix hgt (m).....1190   180    180    150    150    150
Transp wind dir.SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
Transp wind spd.14     12     12     10     9      8
Trans wind dir..SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
Trans spd (m/s).6      5      5      4      4      4
Dispersion idx..65     10     8      6      5      4
LVORI...........1      4      4      5      6      9

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Showers through
                    the day. Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph early
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-671 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 3 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 29.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........65     71     80     82     81     76
Weather cov.....CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).40     80     80     80     90     90
Temp............71     74     78     80     80     80
RH..............93     90     85     82     82     85
20 FT wind dir..ESE    ESE    SE     SSE    SSE    SSE
20 FT wind spd..3      6      7      8      8      8
20 FT wind gust.12     13     15     17     18     18
Mix hgt (ft)....500    900    1700   2000   2200   2100
Mix hgt (m).....150    270    520    610    670    640
Transp wind dir.SE     SE     SE     SSE    SSE    SSE
Transp wind spd.7      8      10     12     12     12
Trans wind dir..SE     SE     SE     SSE    SSE    SSE
Trans spd (m/s).3      4      4      5      5      5
Dispersion idx..4      8      22     29     30     29
LVORI...........7      5      4      3      4      4

$$
Forecaster...8
Requested by...Jody Rogers
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2614961.0/MOB
.DELDT 06/04/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joseph.rogers@usda.gov