Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
782
FNUS74 KMOB 180143
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for Chick CPT 400...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
843 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 2100 CDT on May 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...There is a 30% chance of rain Monday, and a 20%
chance of rain Monday night. For Monday, the minimum relative
humidity is near 55%, 20 ft wind gusts will be up to near 20 mph,
transport winds will be mostly south-southeasterly to southerly,
and dispersion values will be good. For Tuesday, the minimum
relative humidity is near 55%, 20 ft wind gusts will be up to
near 15 mph, transport winds will be mostly southerly to south-
southeasterly, and dispersion values will be generally good.
Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is possible Monday morning
and Tuesday morning.
.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Patchy fog
overnight.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-152 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....6.
TIME (CDT) 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........51 45 48 46 54 53 60 58 61
Weather cov..... PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type.... FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............74 73 71 70 70 69 68 68 68
RH..............79 81 87 87 87 90 93 93 93
20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SE
20 FT wind spd..5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.14 14 14 13 12 12 12 12 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S SSE SSE
Transp wind spd.12 10 10 10 10 10 9 8 9
Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S SSE SSE
Trans spd (m/s).5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Dispersion idx..7 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4
LVORI...........4 4 5 6 5 6 6 6 6
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog early
in the morning. Chance of showers early in the
afternoon. Slight chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon. Slight chance of showers late in
the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in
the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1219 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 15 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 18 early in the morning, then
increasing to 29 late in the morning increasing
to 43 late in the morning increasing to 61
decreasing to 55 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........58 78 69 63 70 60 45 47 68 47 43 52
Weather cov.....PTY PTY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....FOG FOG RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 20 20
Temp............67 69 70 74 78 81 83 85 86 86 86 87
RH..............97 93 93 84 76 69 65 61 59 59 59 57
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SSE SSE SSE SSE S SSE
20 FT wind spd..3 3 5 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.12 13 14 15 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.2 1.7 2.5 3.1 3.8 4.0 3.9 3.4 3.2 3.2
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.SSE SSE SSE SSE SE SSE S S SSE S S S
Transp wind spd.8 9 12 13 14 15 15 15 14 15 14 14
Trans wind dir..SSE SSE SSE SSE SE SSE S S SSE S S S
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 6 7 6 6
Dispersion idx..4 10 18 29 43 56 65 60 65 56 54 56
LVORI...........8 6 5 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Patchy fog overnight.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-975 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....52 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........53 46 40 47 34 43 53 67 75 79 74 88
Weather cov.....SCH PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....RW FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............86 83 80 76 75 74 73 73 72 72 72 71
RH..............59 65 72 82 84 87 90 90 93 90 90 93
20 FT wind dir..S S SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE
20 FT wind spd..7 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.18 18 16 15 15 14 13 12 10 9 9 9
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....1.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
Transp wind dir.S S S S SSE SSE SSE SSE S S SSE SE
Transp wind spd.14 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 8 8 8 6
Trans wind dir..S S S S SSE SSE SSE SSE S S SSE SE
Trans spd (m/s).6 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 3
Dispersion idx..52 8 6 7 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 3
LVORI...........1 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog early
in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
late morning and afternoon, then becoming light
late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1585 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 18 early in the morning, then
increasing to 31 late in the morning increasing
to 42 late in the morning increasing to 56
decreasing to 44 late in the afternoon
decreasing to 36.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........86 80 79 71 63 61 59 57 57 57 57 63
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10
Temp............71 72 72 76 80 83 85 87 88 88 88 88
RH..............93 90 93 82 74 67 63 59 57 57 57 57
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S S S
20 FT wind spd..3 3 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5
20 FT wind gust.10 12 13 14 14 15 15 15 14 14 13 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.6 1.5 2.3 2.9 3.7 4.4 4.9 5.2 5.1 4.6 4.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.4
Transp wind dir.SE SSE SE SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.6 9 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 10 10 9
Trans wind dir..SE SSE SE SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4
Dispersion idx..3 10 18 31 42 52 60 46 47 43 40 36
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
$$
Forecaster...25
Requested by...Rodney Landrum
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613899.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/17/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL rodney.landrum@usda.gov