801
FNUS74 KMOB 191133
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for G-4 RX...Eglin AFB
National Weather Service Mobile AL
633 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on June 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...It will be mainly dry over the burn area the next
two days, with only a 20 percent chance of late afternoon showers
and storms today and a 40 percent chance of afternoon showers and
storms on Thursday. Afternoon relative humidity values remain above
critical levels today and Thursday. Transport winds over the burn
area will be easterly through the period with good dispersion both
days.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1600, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 12 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 17 to 23 mph.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 71.
LVORI...............2 becoming 1.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........52     57     62     59     72
Weather cov.....                            S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     10     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2
Temp............82     87     91     91     91
RH..............65     55     47     49     47
20 FT wind dir..E      E      E      E      E
20 FT wind spd..17     17     16     15     14
20 FT wind gust.25     25     24     22     18
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   3900   4800   4900   5000
Transp wind dir.E      E      E      E      E
Transp wind spd.23     22     21     20     17
Dispersion idx..63     71     66     71     67
LVORI...........2      2      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1900, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 9 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....67 decreasing to around 15.
LVORI...............1 becoming 3.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........54     49     51     42     31     12
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20     0      10     10     0      0
LAL.............2      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............91     85     83     81     78     75
RH..............47     59     61     63     67     71
20 FT wind dir..ESE    E      ENE    E      E      E
20 FT wind spd..14     10     10     12     13     12
20 FT wind gust.16     15     16     18     18     18
Mix hgt (ft)....5000   500    500    500    500    500
Transp wind dir.E      E      E      E      E      E
Transp wind spd.15     8      13     14     14     14
Dispersion idx..67     11     14     16     16     16
LVORI...........1      2      3      3      3      3

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 9 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 18 mph.
Dispersion index....14 increasing to 63 in the late morning and early
                    afternoon decreasing to 51.
LVORI...............4 becoming 1.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........12     10     7      28     40     45
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     40     40
LAL.............1      1      1      1      3      3
Temp............73     77     85     90     93     92
RH..............76     71     57     48     45     49
20 FT wind dir..ENE    ENE    ENE    E      E      E
20 FT wind spd..12     13     14     14     14     13
20 FT wind gust.20     21     20     20     18     16
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1900   3500   4600   4600   3900
Transp wind dir.E      E      E      E      E      E
Transp wind spd.14     18     17     17     15     12
Dispersion idx..16     48     63     63     57     51
LVORI...........4      3      2      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...22
Requested by...Tom Murrie
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416396.0/MOB
.DELDT 06/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thomas.murrie@us.af.mil