Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
311
FNUS74 KMOB 291014
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for YRS05...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
414 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CST on January 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
...LOW DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 24 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER
THE BURN AREA...
.DISCUSSION...Dry weather conditions persist across the burn area
today and tomorrow, with afternoon minimum relative humidity
values falling into the 35 to 40 percent range today and 55 to 60
percent range Friday. Transport winds shift from out of the
northeast this morning to out of the south by late morning.
Transport winds out of the east Friday morning turn out of the
northwest Friday afternoon in the wake of a cold front. Afternoon
dispersions today will be generally poor, becoming fair Friday.
Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1036 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 6 mph shifting to the south 3 to
6 mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Northeast around 2 meters/second shifting to
the south 1 to 3 meters/second late in the
morning.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 18 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21 14 26 43 55 56 62 54 51 42 45
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............29 33 41 46 50 53 55 55 56 56 52
RH..............96 89 70 58 50 43 38 38 37 38 48
20 FT wind dir..N N E E ESE SE SSE SSE SSE S SSE
20 FT wind spd..0 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1
20 FT wind gust.3 3 3 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.1 1.6 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.NE ENE E ESE SE SSE SSE S S S S
Transp wind spd.5 5 6 5 3 5 6 5 6 5 3
Trans wind dir..NE ENE E ESE SE SSE SSE S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).2 2 3 2 1 2 3 2 3 2 1
Dispersion idx..5 4 8 10 10 15 20 18 22 19 14
LVORI...........7 6 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-152 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 5 mph shifting to the east 2 to 5
mph overnight.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest around 1 meters/second shifting to
the east 1 to 2 meters/second overnight.
Dispersion index....2.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........46 30 23 18 21 21 41 34 31 31 43 63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............48 46 42 40 39 37 37 36 34 35 36 36
RH..............58 63 73 79 82 89 89 92 96 96 92 92
20 FT wind dir..S SSE SSE N SE SE ESE ESE E E E E
20 FT wind spd..1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT wind gust.5 5 3 3 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SSW S S S S SSE ESE ESE ESE ESE E E
Transp wind spd.3 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 2
Trans wind dir..SSW S S S S SSE ESE ESE ESE ESE E E
Trans spd (m/s).1 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1
Dispersion idx..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1
LVORI...........3 3 3 4 5 7 7 6 8 8 7 7
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph
late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1311 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 3 mph shifting to the south 3 to 5
mph late in the morning, then shifting to the
west 7 to 10 mph late in the morning shifting
to the northwest 9 to 10 mph late in the
afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.East around 1 meters/second shifting to the
south 1 to 2 meters/second late in the morning,
then shifting to the west 3 to 4 meters/second
late in the morning shifting to the northwest
around 4 meters/second late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 24 late in the morning.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........60 58 56 54 56 59 61 65 69 73 75 78
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20
Temp............37 37 42 48 53 56 58 59 59 57 55 52
RH..............92 96 86 77 69 64 60 57 57 62 66 71
20 FT wind dir..E ENE E ESE ENE N NW NW NNW NNW NNW NNW
20 FT wind spd..1 1 1 2 2 3 5 5 6 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 14 15 15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.6 0.9 2.0 3.3 4.3 4.2 3.8 3.1 3.1 3.1
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.E E ESE SSE S WSW W WNW WNW WNW NW NNW
Transp wind spd.3 3 3 3 5 7 9 10 10 10 10 9
Trans wind dir..E E ESE SSE S WSW W WNW WNW WNW NW NNW
Trans spd (m/s).1 1 1 1 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4
Dispersion idx..3 3 3 3 11 22 23 26 26 25 25 24
LVORI...........6 8 6 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
$$
Forecaster...25
Requested by...Kevin Mock
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601256.0/MOB
.DELDT 01/29/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joseph.k.mock@usda.gov