Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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966
FNUS74 KMOB 171014
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Desoto Block 0250 Comp. 596-598...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
514 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0615 CDT on May 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions will persist through today with a
30% chance of rain Monday. Minimum relative humidity this
afternoon will be near 55%. 20 ft wind gusts will be up to near 20
mph this afternoon with transport mostly southerly to
southeasterly. Afternoon dispersion values will be generally good
to good. For Monday, the minimum relative humidity should increase
to near 60%. 20 ft wind gusts will be up to near 20 mph with
transport winds mostly south-southeasterly. Afternoon dispersion
values will be good. No seabreeze is expected and would result in
no changes in conditions.


Fog potential and other remarks...Light patchy fog could be
possible each night with the best chance early Monday morning.
Visibilities around 1 to 3 miles could be possible where fog does
develop.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 6 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1250 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 51.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........13     11     24     28     43     47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............64     69     79     83     84     85
RH..............100    93     69     63     61     59
20 FT wind dir..ESE    SE     SSE    S      S      SSE
20 FT wind spd..3      3      7      9      10     12
20 FT wind gust.7      8      12     14     16     16
Mix hgt (ft)....400    1000   3200   3900   4000   3500
Mix hgt (m).....120    300    980    1190   1220   1070
Transp wind dir.SE     SSE    S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.7      9      10     12     13     13
Trans wind dir..SE     SSE    S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).3      4      4      5      6      6
Dispersion idx..3      13     43     51     54     48
LVORI...........9      5      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1067 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....56 decreasing to 11.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........47     55     57     66     58     64
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............82     76     74     73     72     71
RH..............63     76     82     84     87     90
20 FT wind dir..SSE    SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
20 FT wind spd..10     7      6      5      5      5
20 FT wind gust.15     12     10     10     9      10
Mix hgt (ft)....3500   700    700    700    700    500
Mix hgt (m).....1070   210    210    210    210    150
Transp wind dir.S      SSE    SSE    SE     SSE    SSE
Transp wind spd.14     12     10     12     12     9
Trans wind dir..S      SSE    SSE    SE     SSE    SSE
Trans spd (m/s).6      5      4      5      5      4
Dispersion idx..56     8      7      7      7      6
LVORI...........1      4      4      4      5      6

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    in the morning. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1372 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 17 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 4 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 26 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 36 late in the morning increasing
                    to 49 late in the morning increasing to 66
                    decreasing to 59 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........73     81     79     69     61     37
Weather cov.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0      30     30     30     20     20
Temp............72     74     81     85     86     86
RH..............87     87     72     65     63     63
20 FT wind dir..SE     SE     SSE    SSE    SSE    SSE
20 FT wind spd..5      8      10     12     10     12
20 FT wind gust.10     14     16     18     17     18
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1700   3000   4000   4500   3800
Mix hgt (m).....150    520    910    1220   1370   1160
Transp wind dir.SSE    SE     SSE    SSE    SSE    SSE
Transp wind spd.9      12     15     16     17     16
Trans wind dir..SSE    SE     SSE    SSE    SSE    SSE
Trans spd (m/s).4      5      7      7      8      7
Dispersion idx..6      26     47     52     70     61
LVORI...........5      4      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...8
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613602.3/MOB
.DELDT 05/17/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov