259
FNUS74 KMOB 271321
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Merritt Creek...Daniel Patterson
National Weather Service Mobile AL
821 AM CDT Sun Sep 27 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 CDT on September 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...For the rest of today, the minimum relative
humidity is near 35%, transport winds will be mostly north-
northwesterly, and dispersion values will be good. For Monday,
the minimum relative humidity is near 30%, transport winds will
be mostly northerly to northeasterly, and dispersion values will
be generally good.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north around 5 mph early
                    in the afternoon, then becoming light late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...244-2103 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 9 mph.
Transport winds m/s.North 2 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 63.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21  21  28  24  18  13  14  8   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............74  79  83  85  88  89  90  91  89
RH..............79  67  55  50  43  42  39  40  42
20 FT wind dir..NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW N   N   N   NNE
20 FT wind spd..1   2   3   5   6   5   5   5   3
20 FT wind gust.5   7   8   10  12  12  12  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 2.2 4.3 5.5 6.3 6.7 6.9 6.8 6.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.7 1.3 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1
Transp wind dir.NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.5   6   8   9   9   9   9   8   8
Trans wind dir..NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW N   N   N   N
Trans spd (m/s).2   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..5   17  38  55  64  66  67  60  58
LVORI...........4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91-2073 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 7 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northeast 2 to 3 meters/second.
Dispersion index....51 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........9   7   10  7   11  14  9   13  19  20  21  15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............86  81  77  74  72  71  69  68  67  66  65  65
RH..............46  54  60  64  66  66  70  70  70  73  73  70
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  ENE ENE ENE NE  N   ENE NE  NE  NNE NNE
20 FT wind spd..3   2   1   1   1   1   0   1   1   1   2   2
20 FT wind gust.8   7   6   5   5   5   3   3   3   5   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...6.8 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....2.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.N   NE  NE  NE  ENE ENE ENE ENE NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.7   7   6   6   5   6   6   6   6   7   6   6
Trans wind dir..N   NE  NE  NE  ENE ENE ENE ENE NE  NE  NE  NE
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   3   3   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..51  3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-2042 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 7 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northeast 2 to 3 meters/second.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 41.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........13  12  1   0   0   0   6   10  13  7   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............64  63  66  70  77  81  85  88  88  89  90  88
RH..............70  72  68  63  50  44  37  34  33  32  31  34
20 FT wind dir..NNE NNE NNE NE  NE  NE  NE  NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.6   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   9   8   9   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.2 2.7 4.1 5.3 6.3 6.7 6.5 6.5
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  ENE ENE NE  NNE N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   7   7   6   6   7   6   6   5   6
Trans wind dir..NE  NE  NE  ENE ENE NE  NNE N   N   N   N   N
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   3
Dispersion idx..3   7   7   8   11  20  31  41  43  42  36  45
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...25
Requested by...USDA
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2622595.0/MOB
.DELDT 09/27/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL daniel.l.patterson@usda.gov