Spot Forecast
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FNUS74 KMOB 281335
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Garcon point...Florida Forest service
National Weather Service Mobile AL
735 AM CST Sun Dec 28 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CST on December 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...There is a 50% chance of rain tonight, and a 50%
chance of rain Monday. For the rest of today, the minimum
relative humidity is near 70%, transport winds will be mostly
south-southwesterly to southerly, and dispersion values will be
generally good. For Monday, the minimum relative humidity is near
35%, 20 ft wind gusts will be up to near 30 mph, transport winds
will be mostly northerly to north-northwesterly, and dispersion
values will be good.

Fog potential and other remarks...Areas of dense fog are expected
early this morning and again tonight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...975 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 2 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 44 around noon, then decreasing
                    to 33 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............9 becoming 4.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........54  56  47  40  35  38  32  25  29  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............63  67  71  73  74  75  74  72  71  67
RH..............97  97  87  81  76  74  76  81  87  97
20 FT wind dir..SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   5   6   8   8   9   9   7   6
20 FT wind gust.5   6   8   10  13  14  14  14  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.1 1.9 2.6 3.1 3.2 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.S   SSW S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S   SSW
Transp wind spd.5   8   10  12  13  14  14  14  13  9
Trans wind dir..S   SSW S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S   SSW
Trans spd (m/s).2   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   4
Dispersion idx..6   10  23  35  44  42  41  41  40  33
LVORI...........9   7   4   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers overnight. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph
                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms after 3 am.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 16 mph shifting to the west
                    around 14 mph early in the morning.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 7 meters/second shifting to the
                    west around 6 meters/second early in the
                    morning.
Dispersion index....10.
LVORI...............9 becoming 5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........31  44  38  40  45  63  62  66  70  79  75  72
Weather cov.....                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                    SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  30  30  30  50  50  50
Temp............62  62  61  61  61  61  61  61  61  61  59  64
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 84
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SW  SW  SW  WSW WSW W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   7
20 FT wind gust.8   9   9   10  10  12  12  13  13  14  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SSW SSW SSW S   S   SSW SW  SW  WSW WSW WSW WNW
Transp wind spd.10  9   8   10  12  12  14  13  13  14  16  14
Trans wind dir..SSW SSW SSW S   S   SSW SW  SW  WSW WSW WSW WNW
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   7   6
Dispersion idx..5   5   5   6   8   9   10  9   10  11  13  14
LVORI...........9   9   9   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   5   5

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...884 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 17 to 25 mph shifting to the north 22
                    to 29 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.North 9 to 13 meters/second.
LVORI...............4 becoming 1.
Stability class.....3.
Dispersion index....28 increasing to around 60.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........82  87  80  72  70  69  67  59  51  43  41  38
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  50  50  50  50  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............63  58  57  57  57  56  56  56  56  56  55  54
RH..............78  100 83  80  69  62  53  47  43  40  38  36
20 FT wind dir..WNW NW  NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW
20 FT wind spd..7   8   12  14  15  15  15  16  16  16  15  13
20 FT wind gust.16  18  22  25  25  26  26  26  25  25  24  23
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.9 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.NW  NNW NNW N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.17  21  25  29  29  28  25  25  24  24  23  22
Trans wind dir..NW  NNW NNW N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Trans spd (m/s).8   9   11  13  13  13  11  11  11  11  10  10
Dispersion idx..28  50  57  62  62  58  54  55  56  57  56  58
LVORI...........4   1   4   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...22
Requested by...Baxley
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2528072.0/MOB
.DELDT 12/28/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ashley.baxley@fdacs.gov