447
FXUS63 KMPX 181738
AFDMPX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1238 PM CDT Sat Oct 18 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Brief period of light rain expected for locations along and
  south of I-94 today as a front passes through from west to
  east.

- Seasonable temperatures through the next 7 days, with Tuesday
  being the coldest.

- Breezy conditions through the first half of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 245 AM CDT Sat Oct 18 2025

We`re beginning to see winds shift out of the northwest as the
surface front makes its way into western and central Minnesota.
With this fropa, we`ll see gusts up to around 25 mph during the
afternoon and highs about 5 to 10F cooler than yesterday.
Maintained a chance for light showers along and south of the
I-94 corridor, but have tightened up the window in which it`ll
rain for spots. The forcing should be sufficient with the trough
strengthening as it passes over the Upper Midwest, and there is
also a solid linear fgen signal especially this evening over
parts of west-central Wisconsin. Overall amounts are expected to
be under a tenth of an inch given it`ll be a progressive
corridor of showers.

Sunday is set to be a stellar fall day with high pressure
sprawled across the Plains. Monday will feature another trough
ejecting south from the Canadian Rockies, with an increase in
winds and a shot at light rain (especially north of I-94). Long
range ensembles continue to show max gusts around 40 mph Monday
into Tuesday. This strong cold air advection will plummet highs
for Tuesday, with most folks barely reaching 50F. Temperatures
gradually rebound through the end of the week once winds shift
out of the south late Wednesday. A quieter pattern also sets up
for us with troughing over the eastern CONUS and ridging over
the west.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1238 PM CDT Sat Oct 18 2025

Incoming mid level clouds at midday will be followed by a
few showers into the evening. Showers should be light and last
only 2-4 hours. Not every location will have showers, so
maintained the prob30. Gusty west to northwest winds will tapoer
off this evening but some gradient wind will persist overnight.
Then more gusts Sunday late morning as high pressure moves in.

KMSP...No additional concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
MON...VFR. Wind S 10-20 kts bcmg W 10-20G25 kts.
TUE...VFR. Wind NW 15-20G30 kts.
WED...VFR. Wind W 5-15 kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BED
AVIATION...TDK