


Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
541 FNUS53 KMQT 151003 FWFMQT FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN National Weather Service Marquette MI 602 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025 .DISCUSSION... A slow-moving front will march across the UP today through tomorrow, bringing multiple rounds of rainfall and thunderstorms with it. Ahead of the front, expect winds out of the south to southwest at 10- 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph, though dew points approaching or exceeding 70 degrees will keep minimum RHs above 50 percent for most. As the front passes, winds turn primarily northerly to northeasterly at 5-10 mph with a few gusts of 15-20 mph. With abundant showers and cooling temperatures, minimum RHs Wednesday will be in the 70s and 80s percent ranges. Total rainfall by Wednesday night is expected to be 1-2 inches in the north and west, half an inch to an inch in the central, and around a tenth of an inch and the south and east. MIZ001-003-161200- Keweenaw-Northern Houghton- Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock 602 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Areas of smoke early. Haze through mid afternoon. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms through early afternoon. Rain showers and thunderstorms likely by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....78-83 inland to around 74 at the shore. 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler. Min humidity........69-74 percent. 24 hr trend......32 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph shifting to the west 5 to 10 mph by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph. PCPN amount.........0.61-1.31 inch on the Keweenaw Peninsula...and 0.58-0.83 inch over Isle Royale. Hours of Sun........2. Chance of thunder...64 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Haze early in the evening. Rain showers likely early in the evening. A chance of thunderstorms through midnight. A chance of rain showers by midnight. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Min temperature.....Around 52. 24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler. Max humidity........89-94 percent. 24 hr trend......13 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......North 7 to 12 mph shifting to the northeast 9 to 14 mph late. Gusts up to 25 mph. PCPN amount.........0.39-0.86 inch on the Keweenaw Peninsula...and 0.17-0.24 inch over Isle Royale. Chance of thunder...46 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely through early afternoon. A slight chance of thunderstorms. A chance of rain showers by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....64-69 inland to around 60 at the shore. Min humidity........56-61 percent inland to 72 percent at the shore. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. PCPN amount.........0.13-0.33 inch on the Keweenaw Peninsula...and none to 0.02 inch over Isle Royale. Hours of Sun........3. Chance of thunder...12 percent. $$ MIZ002-009-084-161200- Ontonagon-Gogebic-Southern Houghton- Including the cities of Ontonagon, Ironwood, Kenton, and Sidnaw 602 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /502 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025/ .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms through mid afternoon. Rain showers and thunderstorms likely late. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 85 inland to around 79 at the shore. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........59-64 percent inland to 68 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......28 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 8 to 13 mph. PCPN amount.........0.27-1.32 inch. Hours of Sun........4. Chance of thunder...69 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely through midnight. A chance of thunderstorms. A chance of rain showers late. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Min temperature.....Around 53. 24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler. Max humidity........98-100 percent inland to 90 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 7 to 12 mph shifting to the northeast with gusts to around 20 mph late. PCPN amount.........0.54-1.38 inch. Chance of thunder...50 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Max temperature.....57-62. Min humidity........82-87 percent inland to 73 percent at the shore. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. PCPN amount.........0.21-0.46 inch. Hours of Sun........2. Chance of thunder...28 percent. $$ MIZ004-005-161200- Baraga-Marquette- Including the cities of L`Anse, Gwinn, and Marquette 602 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms through mid afternoon, then rain showers and thunderstorms likely late. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 85. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........52-57 percent. 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. PCPN amount.........0.18-1.39 inch. Hours of Sun........5. Chance of thunder...55 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely early in the evening. A chance of thunderstorms. A chance of rain showers by midnight. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Min temperature.....51-56. 24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler. Max humidity........100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......West 7 to 12 mph shifting to the north late. PCPN amount.........0.54-1.23 inch. Chance of thunder...54 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....57-62. Min humidity........86-91 percent inland to 82 percent at the shore. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. PCPN amount.........0.10-0.40 inch. Hours of Sun........1. Chance of thunder...24 percent. $$ MIZ010-011-161200- Iron-Dickinson- Including the cities of Iron River and Iron Mountain 502 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms by late morning. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 87. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........50-55 percent. 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.55 inch. Hours of Sun........6. Chance of thunder...41 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....54-59. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Max humidity........100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......West 7 to 12 mph shifting to the north 5 to 10 mph late. PCPN amount.........0.43-1.09 inch. Chance of thunder...52 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Max temperature.....62-67. Min humidity........85-90 percent. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........0.12-0.47 inch. Hours of Sun........2. Chance of thunder...30 percent. $$ MIZ012-161200- Menominee- Including the city of Menominee 502 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 87. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........50-55 percent. 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.22 inch. Hours of Sun........9. Chance of thunder...6 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear then becoming mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers through midnight. A chance of thunderstorms. A slight chance of rain showers late. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....60-65. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph shifting to the north late. PCPN amount.........0.03-1.06 inch. Chance of thunder...24 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers through early afternoon. A chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers likely by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....68-73 inland to around 74 at the shore. Min humidity........73-78 percent. 20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph increasing to 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........0.10-0.17 inch. Hours of Sun........3. Chance of thunder...32 percent. $$ MIZ006-007-085-161200- Alger-Luce-Northern Schoolcraft- Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, Newberry, and Seney 602 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 84. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........56-61 percent. 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.60 inch. Hours of Sun........7. Chance of thunder...15 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....57-62 inland to around 56 at the shore. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........96-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20 mph shifting to the northwest late. PCPN amount.........0.11-0.80 inch. Chance of thunder...29 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers through early afternoon. A slight chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers likely by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....68-73 inland to around 63 at the shore. Min humidity........75-80 percent. 20-foot winds.......North 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........0.03-0.20 inch. Hours of Sun........4. Chance of thunder...23 percent. $$ MIZ013-161200- Delta- Including the cities of Escanaba and Gladstone 602 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 86 inland to around 78 at the shore. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........53-58 percent inland to 62 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.42 inch. Hours of Sun........9. Chance of thunder...11 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 60. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........96-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 20 mph shifting to the north 7 to 12 mph late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.95 inch. Chance of thunder...23 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers through early afternoon. A chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers likely by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....65-70 inland to around 72 at the shore. Min humidity........78-83 percent inland to 73 percent at the shore. 20-foot winds.......North 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........0.04-0.17 inch. Hours of Sun........4. Chance of thunder...28 percent. $$ MIZ014-095-161200- Southern Schoolcraft-Western Mackinac- Including the cities of Manistique and Engadine 602 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....Around 82 inland to around 75 at the shore. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........64-69 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. Chance of thunder...7 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. A slight chance of rain showers by midnight. A slight chance of thunderstorms by midnight. A chance of rain showers late. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Min temperature.....Around 61. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........96-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph shifting to the northwest 6 to 11 mph late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.81 inch. Chance of thunder...19 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....72-77. Min humidity........73-78 percent. 20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.06 inch. Hours of Sun........4. Chance of thunder...26 percent. $$ MIZ096-097-161200- Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- Including the cities of St. Ignace and Mackinac Island 602 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....79-84. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........60-65 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 8 to 13 mph by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. Chance of thunder...5 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....Around 64. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........91-96 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph through midnight. PCPN amount.........None. Chance of thunder...20 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms early. A chance of rain showers. A slight chance of thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 79. Min humidity........70-75 percent. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 6 to 11 mph shifting to the north 5 to 10 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.04 inch. Hours of Sun........7. Chance of thunder...24 percent. $$ MIZ088-161200- Southeast Chippewa- Including the city of Drummond 602 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....80-85. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........59-64 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. Chance of thunder...5 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....Around 64. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........90-95 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 4 to 9 mph late. PCPN amount.........None. Chance of thunder...16 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A slight chance of thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....79-84. Min humidity........62-67 percent. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northeast 6 to 11 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.04 inch. Hours of Sun........8. Chance of thunder...22 percent. $$ MIZ086-087-161200- Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa- Including the cities of Eckerman and Sault Ste. Marie 602 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Max temperature.....Around 83. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........58-63 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.10 inch. Hours of Sun........7. Chance of thunder...9 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....61-66. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........93-98 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph shifting to the west 6 to 11 mph late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.45 inch. Chance of thunder...27 percent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....75-80 inland to around 72 at the shore. Min humidity........71-76 percent. 20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.06 inch. Hours of Sun........6. Chance of thunder...25 percent. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Rain showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Lows 46 to 51 inland to around 54 at the shore. Highs 67 to 72. North winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of rain showers. Lows around 46 inland to around 55 at the shore. Highs 74 to 79. Variable winds 5 mph or less. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Lows around 54 inland to around 60 at the shore. Highs 72 to 77. Variable winds 5 mph or less. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 58. Highs 74 to 79. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Lows around 53 inland to around 59 at the shore. Highs 76 to 81. .Outlook for Tue Jul 22 through Mon Jul 28...expect above normal temperatures and above normal precipitation. $$ ...................Smoke Management Forecast data.................... The following values are for 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) today: Mixing Transport Ventilation WIMS ID/ Site / Height / Winds / Index ------------------------------------------------------------------ 471301 / WAUSAUKEE / 4300 / SW 21 / 903 (E) 200301 / KENTON / 2500 / SW 20 / 500 (G) 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS / 3500 / SW 23 / 805 (E) 201004 / MUNISING / 1300 / SW 20 / 260 (F) 201002 / DOE LAKE / 3500 / SW 24 / 840 (E) 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE / 3200 / SW 24 / 768 (E) 200703 / GWINN / 4800 / SW 24 / 1152 (E) 200903 / LABRANCHE / 4500 / SW 23 / 1035 (E) 200503 / PELKIE / 2300 / SW 19 / 437 (G) 201504 / RACO / 2900 / SW 23 / 667 (E) 200802 / RANDVILLE / 5200 / SW 21 / 1092 (E) 201401 / REXTON / 2000 / SW 19 / 380 (G) 201505 / RUDYARD / 3200 / SW 21 / 672 (E) 201202 / SENEY / 3300 / SW 24 / 792 (E) 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE / 3400 / SW 25 / 850 (E) 201102 / STONINGTON / 2200 / S 20 / 440 (G) 200102 / WAKEFIELD / 2800 / SW 24 / 672 (E) 200103 / WATERSMEET / 3200 / SW 23 / 736 (E) /DRUMND ISLAND / 900 / S 13 / 117 (P) / KEWEENAW / 1100 / SW 12 / 132 (F) 201506 / TROUT LAKE / 2400 / SW 19 / 456 (G) THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) Wed... Mixing Transport Ventilation WIMS ID/ Site / Height / Winds / Index ------------------------------------------------------------------ 471301 / WAUSAUKEE / 1800 / N 11 / 198 (F) 200301 / KENTON / 1100 / NE 17 / 187 (F) 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS / 1200 / N 14 / 168 (F) 201004 / MUNISING / 1200 / N 14 / 168 (F) 201002 / DOE LAKE / 1100 / N 16 / 176 (F) 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE / 1400 / N 13 / 182 (F) 200703 / GWINN / 900 / N 19 / 171 (F) 200903 / LABRANCHE / 1300 / N 17 / 221 (F) 200503 / PELKIE / 1400 / NE 14 / 196 (F) 201504 / RACO / 1700 / N 6 / 102 (P) 200802 / RANDVILLE / 1200 / N 14 / 168 (F) 201401 / REXTON / 2100 / N 6 / 126 (P) 201505 / RUDYARD / 2700 / NW 6 / 162 (F) 201202 / SENEY / 1600 / N 11 / 176 (F) 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE / 1300 / N 9 / 117 (P) 201102 / STONINGTON / 1600 / N 16 / 256 (F) 200102 / WAKEFIELD / 1300 / NE 16 / 208 (F) 200103 / WATERSMEET / 1200 / N 16 / 192 (F) /DRUMND ISLAND / 1800 / W 9 / 162 (F) / KEWEENAW / 900 / NE 16 / 144 (F) 201506 / TROUT LAKE / 2400 / N 6 / 144 (F) Note: Mixing heights are in feet above ground level Transport winds are in miles per hour ..................................................................... The following is point forecast information valid at 1 PM EST. Note that the QPF is from 7 AM to 1 PM EST. Also, wind speeds have been reduced by a factor of 0.7 by the request of local fire officials. WIMS ID/ Site/ Temp/ RH/ WSPD/WGST/WDIR/QPF --------------------------------------------------- 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 85/ 57/ 8/ 14/ SW/0.00 200301 / KENTON/ 80/ 63/ 8/ 13/ SW/0.04 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 81/ 61/ 8/ 13/ SW/0.06 201004 / MUNISING/ 80/ 66/ 8/ 14/ S/0.00 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 84/ 64/ 8/ 15/ S/0.00 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 83/ 66/ 8/ 16/ S/0.00 200703 / GWINN/ 84/ 58/ 8/ 16/ SW/0.00 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 85/ 58/ 8/ 15/ SW/0.00 200503 / PELKIE/ 81/ 67/ 6/ 12/ SW/0.05 201504 / RACO/ 81/ 66/ 9/ 16/ SW/0.00 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 85/ 54/ 8/ 14/ SW/0.00 201401 / REXTON/ 78/ 73/ 8/ 16/ SW/0.00 201505 / RUDYARD/ 82/ 65/ 8/ 16/ SW/0.00 201202 / SENEY/ 83/ 67/ 9/ 16/ S/0.00 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 83/ 64/ 10/ 17/ S/0.00 201102 / STONINGTON/ 83/ 68/ 8/ 15/ S/0.00 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 79/ 64/ 8/ 13/ SW/0.05 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 80/ 59/ 8/ 16/ SW/0.13 /DRUMND ISLAND/ 80/ 63/ 6/ 10/ S/0.00 / KEWEENAW/ 74/ 76/ 6/ 13/ W/0.08 201506 / TROUT LAKE/ 79/ 70/ 8/ 16/ SW/0.00 $$ WFO MQT