880
FNUS73 KMQT 080021
FWSMQT

Spot Forecast for Watersmeet VC Piles Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Marquette MI
721 PM EST Sun Dec 7 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on December 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly cloudy skies with a 10 percent chance of snow on Monday, increasing
to 90 percent by Monday night.  Minimum humidity values will be just above
60 percent with southerly winds at the surface of 5 to 10 mph.


.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........8 at ignition...Max 19.
RH..................75 percent at ignition...Min 62 percent.
Dewpoint............4 increasing to 8 late in the afternoon.
33-foot winds.......Winds south at 7 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    South winds 6 to 9 mph.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 1000-2200
                    ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor (126) at ignition. Max...good (383.0).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......7.7 decreasing to 2.2.

TIME (EST)      5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P
Sky (%).........72  64  62  64  62  63  63  72
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............8   12  15  16  18  18  18  17
Dewpoint........2   4   5   6   7   8   9   9
RH..............75  70  64  64  62  65  68  68
33 ft wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
33 ft wind spd..7   7   9   9   9   9   9   9
20 ft wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 ft wind spd..6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7
Wind gust.......11  11  14  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.3 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.0 1.4
VIndx kt-ft/100.13  19  23  33  38  37  35  21
Ceiling (kft)...8.5 7.7 6.9 6.2 4.4 2.7 2.2 2.2

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Snow showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.
Temperature.........Min 12.
RH..................Max 95 percent.
Dewpoint............11 increasing to 14 early in the morning.
33-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 12 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 8 to 9 mph after 3 am.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 6 to 7 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......1100-1400 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Fair (165.0).
Rainfall amount.....0.13 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......2.0 decreasing to 0.6.

TIME (EST)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID
Sky (%).........77  76  86  89  89  91  91  91  89  88  86  84
Weather cov.....    DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....    SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  90  90  90  90  90  90  80  80  80  80  80
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............16  15  14  15  15  14  14  15  16  16  16  16
Dewpoint........9   10  10  11  12  12  13  13  13  13  13  14
RH..............76  80  83  86  88  95  94  91  90  88  88  88
33 ft wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
33 ft wind spd..9   9   9   12  12  12  12  12  12  9   9   9
20 ft wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 ft wind spd..7   7   7   10  10  10  10  10  10  7   7   7
Wind gust.......14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.2
VIndx kt-ft/100.19  17  24  25  27  29  30  29  27  25  22  19
Ceiling (kft)...2.3 2.3 2.0 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Snow showers
                    early in the morning. Chance of snow showers in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 26.
RH..................Min 77 percent.
Dewpoint............16 increasing to 19 late in the afternoon.
33-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 7 mph.
20-foot winds.......West winds up to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......1000-2000 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to fair (96.0-223.0).
Rainfall amount.....0.02 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......MISSING.

TIME (EST)      1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P
Sky (%).........81  79  77  75  73  76  78  81  80  79  78  81
Weather cov.....DEF                         CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....SW                          SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).80  10  10  10  10  10  10  40  40  40  40  40
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............17  17  17  18  19  21  22  24  25  25  25  24
Dewpoint........14  15  15  16  17  17  18  18  19  19  19  19
RH..............89  90  92  93  92  88  83  79  78  77  79  83
33 ft wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
33 ft wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   5   5   5
20 ft wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
20 ft wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   4   4   4
Wind gust.......10  10  10  11  11  11  11  11  11  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.3
VIndx kt-ft/100.16  14  14  16  18  20  22  22  20  16  13  10
Ceiling (kft)...

$$
Forecaster...TDUD
Requested by...William Meginley
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527141.0/MQT
.DELDT 12/07/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL william.meginley@usda.gov