Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
250
FNUS73 KMQT 090207
FWSMQT
Spot Forecast for Pelkie Spot...MI DNR
National Weather Service Marquette MI
1007 PM EDT Thu May 8 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2200 EDT on May 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
A potential wildfire has been spotted just southeast of Pelkie this
evening. Given the location, it is likely a grass fire, with the
light lake winds pushing the smoke plume direction initially
southeastwards this evening. However, with calm winds developing
overnight, expect an inversion near the sfc to cause any smoke to
remain near the sfc (should the fire still be going). With better
mixing and instability tomorrow, the fire`s smoke plume would be able
to mix up into the atmosphere, generally flowing west aloft with
time. Could see some light showers Friday evening as a mostly dry
cold front moves through, but don`t expect it to bring much
precipitation to the area; just a trace to a couple of hundreths of
liquid if it even falls.
.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........38 at forecast start...Min 30.
RH..................61 percent at forecast start...Max 76 percent.
Dewpoint............24.
33-foot winds.......Winds north at 3 mph at forecast
start...otherwise light winds.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL at forecast start...otherwise 600 ft
AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor (23) at forecast start. Min...poor (17.0).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......25.
TIME (EDT) 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........7 7 6 4 2 2 1 1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............37 33 31 31 32 32 33 34
Dewpoint........25 24 25 24 24 25 25 25
RH..............61 70 76 76 74 73 72 70
33 ft wind dir..N N NW NW NW SW SW SW
33 ft wind spd..3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 ft wind dir..N N NW NW NW SW SW SW
20 ft wind spd..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Wind gust.......5 5 4 4 4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
VIndx kt-ft/100.2 2 2 3 4 4 5 4
Ceiling (kft)...25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.
Temperature.........Max 76.
RH..................Min 25 percent.
Dewpoint............28 increasing to 41.
33-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
20-foot winds.......West winds up to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......600-2400 ft AGL increasing to 3000-4600 ft AGL
in the afternoon.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (50.0-512.0) increasing to good to
excellent (560.0-639.0) late in the afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......25.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1 1 0 1 1 2 2 3 5 8 13 29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............35 37 41 47 54 61 65 69 71 74 76 76
Dewpoint........26 26 29 30 31 32 33 33 34 36 39 41
RH..............68 64 62 50 40 34 29 27 25 26 27 29
33 ft wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W
33 ft wind spd..5 5 5 8 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 10
20 ft wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W
20 ft wind spd..4 4 4 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8
Wind gust.......7 7 7 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.4 3.0 3.5 3.9 4.3 4.6 4.1
VIndx kt-ft/100.5 5 5 11 19 26 36 43 51 56 64 58
Ceiling (kft)...25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.
Temperature.........Min 41.
RH..................Max 80 percent.
Dewpoint............44 decreasing to 39 overnight.
33-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph shifting to the north 5
to 7 mph overnight.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 7 mph decreasing to up to 5 mph
late in the evening, then shifting to the north
up to 6 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......600-2400 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (44.0-307.0).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......7.0 increasing to 25.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........48 61 56 44 37 29 26 25 24 30 36 41
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............75 72 68 65 61 58 55 52 49 46 44 43
Dewpoint........43 44 46 45 44 43 42 41 40 38 38 37
RH..............32 37 44 48 53 58 63 66 70 73 77 80
33 ft wind dir..W W W W W W N N N N N N
33 ft wind spd..9 9 9 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 ft wind dir..W W W W W W N N N N N N
20 ft wind spd..7 7 7 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6
Wind gust.......10 10 10 8 8 8 10 10 10 13 13 13
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 2.0 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.6
VIndx kt-ft/100.31 24 10 5 4 6 7 7 7 11 9 5
Ceiling (kft)...7.0 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25
$$
Forecaster...TAP
Requested by...Taylor Prislovsky (NWS)
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2513591.0/MQT
.DELDT 05/08/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL murphyK1@michigan.gov