079
FXUS64 KMRX 101114
AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
714 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 712 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

- Fall-like, cool temperatures and dry weather expected through
  this weekend into next week. A slight warming trend next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1255 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

In the upper levels, a shortwave is lingering over the Southeast as
a cut-off low moves into the Great Lakes Region. A strong ridge
remains over the Great Plains and Rockies. At the surface, high
pressure centered over New England extends all the way to Texas.
High pressure moves out quickly tonight as the Great Lakes system
moves southward and low pressure develops along the east coast
strengthening over the Mid-Atlantic. The ridge will finally build
into the Tennessee Valley early next week. Our region will remain
dry on the backside of the East Coast system with northwesterly
flow in the upper levels.

Dry weather is expected this weekend through mid next week. A
gradual warming trend is expected early next week as the ridge
builds into the region but temps will still be pleasant with highs
mainly in the upper 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 712 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

High pressure to allow for continued dry weather, VFR conditions,
and light winds through the TAF period. Clouds expected to scatter
this morning yielding mostly clear skies.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             76  53  77  51 /   0   0   0   0
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  74  49  75  49 /   0   0   0   0
Oak Ridge, TN                       73  49  75  48 /   0   0   0   0
Tri Cities Airport, TN              70  44  72  46 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...McD
AVIATION...Wellington