309
FNUS74 KMRX 171418
FWSMRX

Spot Forecast for CNF Low Complexity Stump Pile...USFS
National Weather Service Morristown TN
918 AM EST Wed Dec 17 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on December 17.

If conditions become unrepresentative,contact the National Weather
Service...at 1-800-697-0075. If possible, please provide feedback
for every spot forecast request.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions with a gradual warming trend will continue today.
By Thursday, temperatures will be above normal and rain chances
will increase area-wide. Winds will also become breezy Thursday
afternoon, and gusts of 30 to 40 mph are expected in the burn
area.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 7 mph shifting to the west
                    late in the morning, then shifting to the south
                    5 to 6 mph in the afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........78  68  56  63  60  72  84  73  70  62
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............40  45  50  52  53  54  53  52  48  45
RH..............44  40  36  35  35  36  38  41  47  53
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   SW  W   W   S   S   S   E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   5   6   6   5   5   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   SW  W   W   W   S   S   SE  S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the morning.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph.
Rainfall amount.....0.01 inches.

TIME (EST)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
Sky (%).........62  57  56  59  56  66  65  84  87  85  86  92
Weather cov.....                                            CHC
Weather type....                                            RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............43  41  40  40  39  39  39  38  40  41  41  43
RH..............57  62  67  67  73  73  76  85  89  93  96  96
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.4   4   5   6   6   6   6   7   7   10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.SE  S   SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
Transp wind spd.6   7   8   8   10  10  12  12  12  12  10  12

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    in the morning, then rain showers late in the
                    morning.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 21 mph increasing to 18 to 22 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.32 inches.

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........96  92  88  88  88  88  89  90  91  90  88  87
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............44  46  49  51  54  55  56  57  57  56  56  55
RH..............100 100 96  93  86  83  80  77  77  83  83  90
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   7   8   8   10  12  12  12  15
20 FT wind gust.12  13  14  14  16  17  18  20  22  24  26  30
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.0 0.7
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  14  16  17  18  20  21  22  22  22  25  28

$$
Forecaster...Doug Schneider
Requested by...Christopher McTaggart
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527872.0/MRX
.DELDT 12/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL christopher.mctaggart@usda.gov,robert.culp@usda.gov