510
FNUS74 KMRX 061155
FWSMRX

Spot Forecast for Ballplay School Rd Fire...TDF
National Weather Service Morristown TN
755 AM EDT Sun Sep 6 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EDT on September 06.

If conditions become unrepresentative,contact the National Weather
Service...at 1-800-697-0075. If possible, please provide feedback
for every spot forecast request.

.DISCUSSION...

Slightly lower temperatures and dew points are expected today
compared to the last several days. But with both decreasing the
overall relative humidity values will stay somewhat consistent.
Expect another round of afternoon thunderstorms to develop on and
near the mountains and foothills, possibly near the wildfire site.
Currently expect storms to start to develop along the mountains in
the early afternoon hours and could continue through sunset.
Storms will be very isolated in nature.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.01 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  18  12  12  9   9   15  30  33  47
Weather cov.....                        SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH CHC CHC CHC
Temp............71  75  80  84  86  89  90  91  92  90
RH..............97  90  82  72  68  61  58  56  52  58
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..0   0   0   1   2   3   3   4   4   5
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2   5   6   6   7   8   8   10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Rainfall amount.....0.01 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........38  25  27  17  9   25  34  32  42  43  52  65
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC SCH SCH SCH
Temp............90  87  82  78  76  75  74  73  72  72  70  70
RH..............58  61  72  82  87  87  87  90  93  90  97  97
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   4   3   3   3   2   1   1   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  8   8   6   6   5   2   2   2

.LABOR DAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    early in the afternoon. Showers likely and
                    chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.03 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........80  78  62  52  32  31  40  38  55  75  68  68
Weather cov.....                            CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Temp............69  68  69  71  76  80  82  85  86  86  87  85
RH..............100 100 97  100 87  77  72  67  63  63  61  67
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  N   NE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2   2   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6

$$
Forecaster...Andrew Moulton
Requested by...Zachary Klassen
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2621313.0/MRX
.DELDT 09/06/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jacqueline.broeker@tn.gov,garrett.allen@tn.gov,zachary.klassen@tn.gov,brooke.couch@tn.gov