357
FNUS74 KMRX 061724
FWSMRX

Spot Forecast for Alum Cave SAR...Great Smoky Mountains National Park
National Weather Service Morristown TN
124 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1400 EDT on August 06.

If conditions become unrepresentative,contact the National Weather
Service...at 1-800-697-0075. If possible, please provide feedback
for every spot forecast request.

.DISCUSSION...

Showers have developed in the area and will continue to increase
in coverage over the next 2 hours or so. The highest (70 to 80
percent) chance of rain is between 3 and 5 PM with a lesser chance
of lightning. Coverage should decrease near and after sunset with
temperatures falling to 60 degrees or less. Winds will be light
outside of storms that could produce strong gusts.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........87 percent.
Dewpoint............60.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........79  74  72  65
Weather cov.....LKY DEF LKY CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60  80  60  50
Temp............63  64  63  63
Dewpoint........60  60  60  61
RH..............90  87  90  93
Surface wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.4   4   3   3
Surface wnd gst.8   7   7   6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Dewpoint............58.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming south 8 to 10 mph in the
                    late evening and overnight, then shifting to
                    the southwest around 9 mph early in the
                    morning.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........50  71  73  84  87  86  74  72  72  59  51  60
Weather cov.....CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).40  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   10
Temp............63  61  60  60  60  59  59  59  59  59  59  58
Dewpoint........60  60  60  60  59  58  58  58  58  57  57  57
RH..............90  97  100 100 96  96  96  96  96  93  93  96
Surface wnd dir.SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
Surface wnd spd.3   4   5   8   8   9   9   10  10  10  9   9
Surface wnd gst.6   7   8   10  12  13  13  13  14  14  13  13

$$
Forecaster...Brandon Wasilewski
Requested by...Lauren Yoder
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2619087.0/MRX
.DELDT 08/06/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL grsm_dispatch@nps.gov